SatEvo decay list #99 (issued 2000 May 13)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2000 June 30, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date. Most decay dates have slipped since my last posting, in line with (temporarily) decreased solar and geomagnetic activity.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (2000) -----
Predicted Actual?
25056 64- 26 J Transit 9 deb April 18? Notes 1,2
24187 94- 29 JN STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 30.0
22033 92- 41 D Insat 2A Spelda April 30 Note 2
26355 00- 23 B Cosmos 2370 Soyuz r May 6.44
23996 94- 29 AR STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 10.2
4029 61- 15 JR Transit 4A deb May 11 Note 1
3962 68- 91 BW Cosmos 249 deb May 11.8
25033 89- 85 D USA 47 deb May 12.2
17769 78- 26 HB Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb May 15?
26085 00- 8 E Globalstar A Delta r May 15
26114 00- 17 B IMAGE Delta 2 r1 May 16
603 63- 22 B Scout X-3 r May 17
10135 77- 61 B Cosmos 925 r May 17
24694 94- 29 ABC STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 17
22580 93- 16 H Cosmos 2237 Zenit deb May 19
12180 78- 26 V Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb May 20
20338 89- 94 A Molniya 3-36 May 20
22726 93- 48 D Insat 2B Spelda May 20
22470 92- 93 FK Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb May 22
24234 94- 29 LH STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 22
25235 98- 12 C SNOE Pegasus r May 25
24998 94- 29 ADF STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 27
4624 70- 91 D Cosmos 375 deb June 1
14411 68- 91 CM Cosmos 249 deb June 1
24211 96- 44 D Italsat 2 Spelda June 3
4985 70- 25 HF Thorad Agena D deb June 4
24377 94- 29 QE STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 4
4006 61- 15 JL Transit 4A deb June 6
13576 78- 26 FP Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb June 7
23782 96- 7 B NSTAR 2 Ariane 44LP+3 r June 7
23858 96- 27 B SAX Centaur r June 8
10860 78- 45 A Cosmos 1005 June 9
24093 94- 29 EQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 9
20339 89- 94 B Molniya 3-36 r June 10? Note 2
22507 92- 93 GS Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb June 10
24147 94- 29 GW STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 10
24771 97- 16 D Thaicom 3 Spelda June 10
11629 79- 99 A Cosmos 1145 June 13
19390 87- 20 BW Cosmos 1823 deb June 15
22402 92- 93 CT Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb June 17
3566 68- 97 S Cosmos 252 deb June 18
11268 79- 12 A Cosmos 1077 June 18
23502 95- 8 B Cosmos 2306 r June 18
24175 94- 29 JA STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 18
16934 86- 68 A Molniya 1-68 June 20?
22542 92- 93 HC Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb June 20
8092 72- 58 DT Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb June 21
25939 79-104 M CAT 1 Ariane 1 deb June 22
24982 94- 29 ACQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 23
1721 65- 82 CC OV2-1/LCS2 deb June 25
17206 86- 19 BJ SPOT 1 r deb June 26
21025 90-112 F Raduga 26 aux motor June 27
14555 81- 53 JN Cosmos 1275 deb June 28
24216 94- 29 KP STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 28
24262 94- 29 MM STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 29
9530 74- 94 E Skynet 2B Delta 1 r2 July 7
26357 00- 24 B USA 149 Titan 4 r July 7
24878 97- 35 C GPS 2R-2 r2 (PAM-D) July 9
25123 97- 85 A Early Bird July 20
25739 99- 26 E Terriers adapter cone July 22
13967 83- 25 D Molniya 1-57 r2 July 31
10362 77- 91 A Cosmos 955 August
20698 90- 61 F Cosmos 2085 aux motor August
23941 96- 37 B TOMS r August
24321 96- 56 C GPS 2-27 Delta 2 r2 August
26361 00- 25 B GPS 2R-4 Delta 2 r1 August
20399 89-101 E Cosmos 2054 aux mot September
25310 98- 23 E Globalstar 6 Delta r September
25995 99- 68 B Terra Centaur r September
20255 89- 78 A Molniya 1-76 October
23501 95- 8 A Cosmos 2306 October
23549 95- 18 A Ofeq 3 October
25032 97- 67 C GPS 2-28 Delta 2 r2 October
25470 98- 51 D Iridium 79 October
25547 98- 68 B Bonum Delta 2 r October
25124 97- 85 B Early Bird r November Note 3
25529 98- 66 C Iridium 85 November
Notes
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk