SatEvo decay list #98 (issued 2000 April 29)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2000 June 15, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (2000) -----
Predicted Actual?
24686 94- 29 AAU STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 17
26245 00- 19 C SESat Proton platform April 18.5
13577 78- 26 FQ Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb April 19.5
19435 86- 19 UY Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb April 19
22482 92- 93 FX Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb April 19.5
26244 00- 19 B SESat Proton r April 19.70 Note 3
15983 85- 74 D Molniya 1-64 r2 April 20.07
25906 93- 59 J Cosmos 2263 Proton deb April 20.7
4601 70- 25 D Thorad Agena D deb April 20.8
5021 70- 89 X Cosmos 374 deb April 21.8
17201 86- 19 BD Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb April 22.3
22412 92- 93 DD Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb April 23.8
20704 90- 54 E Gorizont 20 aux motor April 23.95
24579 94- 29 YF STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 24.4 Note 1
24153 94- 29 HC STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 25.6
26302 00- 21 B Progress M1-2 Soyuz r April 27.45
23834 96- 19 B GPS 2-25 Delta 2 r1 April 27.56
24113 94- 29 FL STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 28.3 Note 1
24033 94- 29 CE STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 29.0 Note 1
22033 92- 41 D Insat 2A Spelda April 30
24187 94- 29 JN STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 30
25056 64- 26 J Transit 9 deb May 4 Note 2
4029 61- 15 JR Transit 4A deb May 5
23996 94- 29 AR STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 5
3962 68- 91 BW Cosmos 249 deb May 7
17769 78- 26 HB Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb May 8
22580 93- 16 H Cosmos 2237 Zenit deb May 9
24694 94- 29 ABC STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 9
25033 89- 85 D USA 47 deb May 9
12180 78- 26 V Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb May 10
22470 92- 93 FK Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb May 11
603 63- 22 B Scout X-3 r May 12
10135 77- 61 B Cosmos 925 r May 13
26085 00- 8 E Globalstar A Delta r May 13
26114 00- 17 B IMAGE Delta 2 r1 May 13
20338 89- 94 A Molniya 3-36 May 14?
24234 94- 29 LH STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 15
22726 93- 48 D Insat 2B Spelda May 17
25235 98- 12 C SNOE Pegasus r May 17
24998 94- 29 ADF STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 19
4006 61- 15 JL Transit 4A deb May 24
4985 70- 25 HF Thorad Agena D deb May 24
4624 70- 91 D Cosmos 375 deb May 26
24377 94- 29 QE STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 27
13576 78- 26 FP Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb May 28
24147 94- 29 GW STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 28
19390 87- 20 BW Cosmos 1823 deb May 29
14411 68- 91 CM Cosmos 249 deb May 30
22402 92- 93 CT Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb May 31
23858 96- 27 B SAX Centaur r June 1
24211 96- 44 D Italsat 2 Spelda June 1
24262 94- 29 MM STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 1
10860 78- 45 A Cosmos 1005 June 2
24175 94- 29 JA STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 2
14555 81- 53 JN Cosmos 1275 deb June 3
22542 92- 93 HC Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb June 3
24093 94- 29 EQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 3
24771 97- 16 D Thaicom 3 Spelda June 4
17206 86- 19 BJ SPOT 1 r deb June 5
8092 72- 58 DT Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb June 6
11629 79- 99 A Cosmos 1145 June 6
24216 94- 29 KP STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 6
3566 68- 97 S Cosmos 252 deb June 7
23782 96- 7 B NSTAR 2 Ariane 44LP+3 r June 8
24982 94- 29 ACQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 8?
25939 79-104 M CAT 1 Ariane 1 deb June 8
1721 65- 82 CC OV2-1/LCS2 deb June 9
23502 95- 8 B Cosmos 2306 r June 9
20339 89- 94 B Molniya 3-36 r June 10?
22507 92- 93 GS Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb June 10
11268 79- 12 A Cosmos 1077 June 14
25739 99- 26 E Terriers adapter cone June 24
21025 90-112 F Raduga 26 aux motor June 25
25123 97- 85 A Early Bird June 27
16934 86- 68 A Molniya 1-68 July 2?
10362 77- 91 A Cosmos 955 July
13967 83- 25 D Molniya 1-57 r2 July
20698 90- 61 F Cosmos 2085 aux motor July
23941 96- 37 B TOMS r July
24321 96- 56 C GPS 2-27 Delta 2 r2 July
24878 97- 35 C GPS 2R-2 r2 (PAM-D) July
25310 98- 23 E Globalstar 6 Delta r August
25995 99- 68 B Terra Centaur r August
23549 95- 18 A Ofeq 3 September
25032 97- 67 C GPS 2-28 Delta 2 r2 September
25470 98- 51 D Iridium 79 September
25547 98- 68 B Bonum Delta 2 r September
20255 89- 78 A Molniya 1-76 October
20399 89-101 E Cosmos 2054 aux mot October
23501 95- 8 A Cosmos 2306 October
25124 97- 85 B Early Bird r October
25529 98- 66 C Iridium 85 October
Notes
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk