SatEvo Decay List #96


SatEvo decay list #96 (issued 2000 March 31)

This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.

In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2000 May 15, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.

   #    Designation    Name              ----- Decay (2000) -----
                                            Predicted   Actual?

  18590   71- 15 DJ  Cosmos 397 deb                    March 18.5
 25965   99- 62 E   Glblstar 29 Soyuz r               March 19.78
 15977   85- 74 A   Molniya 1-64                      March 22.23
 24389   94- 29 QS  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                March 22.9
 24143   94- 29 GS  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                March 23.4
 11331   79- 32 A   Cosmos 1093                       March 23.80
 24112   94- 29 FK  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                March 24.5
 20854   90- 81 S   FY-1B CZ deb                      March 25.26
 20919   90- 93 B   Inmarsat2-F1 Delta2 r             March 26.25
 19028   69- 82 LC  Thorad Agena D deb                March 26.3
 24618   94- 29 ZW  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                March 26.5
 24358   94- 29 PK  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                March 28.2
 24139   94- 29 GN  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                March 29.4
 17630   81- 53 LC  Cosmos 1275 deb                   March 30.4 Note 1
 26112   99- 57 D   CBERS LM4 deb                     March 31.1 Note 1
 25393   98- 42 E   Tubsat N SSN-23 deb               March 31.4 Note 1
 22457   92- 93 EW  Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb    March 31.7
 25709   89-100 BE  Cosmos 2053 Tsyklon deb  April  1
 24150   94- 29 GZ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       April  2
 24314   96- 55 B   Echostar 2 Ariane 42P r  April  3
  5714   68- 91 CB  Cosmos 249 deb           April  6
 20966   90-104 A   Cosmos 2106              April  7
 24062   94- 29 DK  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       April  8
 20968   90- 81 CA  FY-1B CZ deb             April 11
 24342   94- 29 NT  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       April 11
 23417   94- 77 H   Cosmos 2297 deb          April 12
 25137   98-  2 D   Skynet 4D Delta deb      April 12
 16084   79- 17 AM  Solwind deb              April 13
 24540   94- 29 WQ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       April 13
 24879   96- 51 K   Cosmos 2333 Zenit deb    April 13
 25223   87- 68 BA  Meteor 2-16 Tsyklon deb  April 13
 19435   86- 19 UY  Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb      April 20
 20704   90- 54 E   Gorizont 20 aux motor    April 20
 25906   93- 59 J   Cosmos 2263 Proton deb   April 21
 15983   85- 74 D   Molniya 1-64 r2          April 23
 22482   92- 93 FX  Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb    April 23
 24686   94- 29 AAU STEP-2 Pegasus deb       April 24
 17201   86- 19 BD  Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb      April 25
  4601   70- 25 D   Thorad Agena D deb       April 26
 20338   89- 94 A   Molniya 3-36             April 26?
 24982   94- 29 ACQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb       April 28
 25056   64- 26 J   Transit 9 deb            April 28 Note 2
 13577   78- 26 FQ  Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb    April 30
 23834   96- 19 B   GPS 2-25 Delta 2 r1        May  1
 22507   92- 93 GS  Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb      May  2
 22033   92- 41 D   Insat 2A Spelda            May  3
 24033   94- 29 CE  STEP-2 Pegasus deb         May  3
  5021   70- 89 X   Cosmos 374 deb             May  4
 24153   94- 29 HC  STEP-2 Pegasus deb         May  4
 24579   94- 29 YF  STEP-2 Pegasus deb         May  6
  4029   61- 15 JR  Transit 4A deb             May  8
 22412   92- 93 DD  Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb      May  9
 23996   94- 29 AR  STEP-2 Pegasus deb         May  9
  3962   68- 91 BW  Cosmos 249 deb             May 10
 24187   94- 29 JN  STEP-2 Pegasus deb         May 11
 13576   78- 26 FP  Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb      May 12
 26114   00- 17 B   IMAGE Delta 2 r1           May 12
   603   63- 22 B   Scout X-3 r                May 15
 26085   00-  8 E   Globalstar A Delta r       May 15
 25235   98- 12 C   SNOE Pegasus r             May 19
 10135   77- 61 B   Cosmos 925 r               May 20
 22726   93- 48 D   Insat 2B Spelda            May 22
 11629   79- 99 A   Cosmos 1145               June  5
 10860   78- 45 A   Cosmos 1005               June 10
 11268   79- 12 A   Cosmos 1077               June 10
 24771   97- 16 D   Thaicom 3 Spelda          June 10
 16934   86- 68 A   Molniya 1-68              June
 20339   89- 94 B   Molniya 3-36 r            June
 20698   90- 61 F   Cosmos 2085 aux motor     June
 23502   95-  8 B   Cosmos 2306 r             June
 13967   83- 25 D   Molniya 1-57 r2           July
 24321   96- 56 C   GPS 2-27 Delta 2 r2       July
 25123   97- 85 A   Early Bird                July
 24878   97- 35 C   GPS 2R-2 r2 (PAM-D)     August
 20399   89-101 E   Cosmos 2054 aux mot  September
 21025   90-112 F   Raduga 26 aux motor  September
 23941   96- 37 B   TOMS r               September
 20255   89- 78 A   Molniya 1-76           October
 25032   97- 67 C   GPS 2-28 Delta 2 r2    October

Notes


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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk


Last updated: 2000 March 31