SatEvo Decay List #95


SatEvo decay list #95 (issued 2000 March 17)

This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.

In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2000 April 30, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.

   #    Designation    Name              ----- Decay (2000) -----
                                            Predicted   Actual?

 20680   74- 89 FE  Thorad Delta 1 deb             February 29.6
 22876   93- 67 B   Cosmos 2265 r                     March  2.48
 24343   94- 29 NU  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                March  3
   179   61- 15 BD  Transit 4A deb                    March  4.2
 25947   99- 58 E   Glblstar 31 Soyuz r               March  4.23
 24627   94- 29 AAF STEP-2 Pegasus deb                March  6
 24831   94- 61 E   Cosmos 2292 deb                   March  7.0
 24230   94- 29 LD  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                March  7
 25905   95- 58 J   Cosmos 2322 Zenit deb             March  9.4
  4134   69- 82 CW  Thorad Agena D deb                March 12.0
 23887   96- 34 F   Gorizont 32 aux motor             March 12.68
 26100   00- 13 C   Express 6-A Proton plat           March 13.05
 26099   00- 13 B   Express 6-A Proton r              March 14.21
 26060   99- 47 H   Yamal 101 aux motor               March 15.12
 24233   94- 29 LG  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                March 16  Note 1
 24481   94- 29 UE  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                March 16
 24612   94- 29 ZQ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                March 16  Note 1
 18590   71- 15 DJ  Cosmos 397 deb           March 18
 25965   99- 62 E   Glblstar 29 Soyuz r      March 19
 24143   94- 29 GS  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 22
 11331   79- 32 A   Cosmos 1093              March 23
 24389   94- 29 QS  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 23
 20854   90- 81 S   FY-1B CZ deb             March 25
 24112   94- 29 FK  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 25
 17630   81- 53 LC  Cosmos 1275 deb          March 26
 19028   69- 82 LC  Thorad Agena D deb       March 26
 20919   90- 93 B   Inmarsat2-F1 Delta2 r    March 26
 24139   94- 29 GN  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 29
 24618   94- 29 ZW  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 29
 25393   98- 42 E   Tubsat N SSN-23 deb      March 31
 15977   85- 74 A   Molniya 1-64             April  1
 22457   92- 93 EW  Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb    April  1
 24314   96- 55 B   Echostar 2 Ariane 42P r  April  3
 24062   94- 29 DK  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       April  5
 25709   89-100 BE  Cosmos 2053 Tsyklon deb  April  5
 20966   90-104 A   Cosmos 2106              April  9
 24358   94- 29 PK  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       April  9
  5714   68- 91 CB  Cosmos 249 deb           April 12
 25137   98-  2 D   Skynet 4D Delta deb      April 14
 24150   94- 29 GZ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       April 17
 23417   94- 77 H   Cosmos 2297 deb          April 21
 25223   87- 68 BA  Meteor 2-16 Tsyklon deb  April 21
 16084   79- 17 AM  Solwind deb              April 22
 20704   90- 54 E   Gorizont 20 aux motor    April 23
 22482   92- 93 FX  Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb    April 25
 19435   86- 19 UY  Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb      April 28
 20968   90- 81 CA  FY-1B CZ deb             April 30
 22033   92- 41 D   Insat 2A Spelda          April 30
 20338   89- 94 A   Molniya 3-36               May  1?
 15983   85- 74 D   Molniya 1-64 r2            May  6
 23834   96- 19 B   GPS 2-25 Delta 2 r1        May  7
 10135   77- 61 B   Cosmos 925 r               May 16
 26085   00-  8 E   Globalstar A Delta r       May 20
 25235   98- 12 C   SNOE Pegasus r             May 22
 22726   93- 48 D   Insat 2B Spelda            May 29
 10860   78- 45 A   Cosmos 1005               June
 11629   79- 99 A   Cosmos 1145               June
 16934   86- 68 A   Molniya 1-68              June
 20339   89- 94 B   Molniya 3-36 r            June
 24771   97- 16 D   Thaicom 3 Spelda          June
 11268   79- 12 A   Cosmos 1077               July
 13967   83- 25 D   Molniya 1-57 r2           July
 20698   90- 61 F   Cosmos 2085 aux motor     July
 23502   95-  8 B   Cosmos 2306 r             July
 20399   89-101 E   Cosmos 2054 aux motor   August
 24321   96- 56 C   GPS 2-27 Delta 2 r2     August
 24878   97- 35 C   GPS 2R-2 r2 (PAM-D)     August
 25123   97- 85 A   Early Bird              August
 21025   90-112 F   Raduga 26 aux motor  September
 20255   89- 78 A   Molniya 1-76           October
 23941   96- 37 B   TOMS r                 October
 25032   97- 67 C   GPS 2-28 Delta 2 r2    October

Note


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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk


Last updated: 2000 March 17