SatEvo decay list #94 (issued 2000 February 26)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2000 April 15, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (2000) -----
Predicted Actual?
9854 77- 15 B Cosmos 895 r February 14.31
19304 61- 15 MD Transit 4A deb February 14? Notes 1,2
24054 94- 29 DB STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 14
17124 86- 19 U Spot 1 Ariane deb February 15
25911 99- 49 E Glblstar 33 Soyuz r February 17.72
24528 94- 29 WC STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 18
25769 99- 30 B Starshine February 18.63
25752 99- 28 H USA 144 deb February 21.05 Note 2
20680 74- 89 FE Thorad Delta 1 deb March 2
22876 93- 67 B Cosmos 2265 r March 2
24831 94- 61 E Cosmos 2292 deb March 3
25947 99- 58 E Glblstar 31 Soyuz r March 4
24343 94- 29 NU STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 5
24230 94- 29 LD STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 8
179 61- 15 BD Transit 4A deb March 10
24627 94- 29 AAF STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 10
24481 94- 29 UE STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 13
23887 96- 34 F Gorizont 32 aux motor March 17
26060 99- 47 H Yamal 101 aux motor March 20
24612 94- 29 ZQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 21
4134 69- 82 CW Thorad Agena D deb March 22
25965 99- 62 E Glblstar 29 Soyuz r March 24
25905 95- 58 J Cosmos 2322 Zenit deb March 24
24389 94- 29 QS STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 25
24233 94- 29 LG STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 26
24143 94- 29 GS STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 27
20919 90- 93 B Inmarsat2-F1 Delta2 r March 28
24112 94- 29 FK STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 29
18590 71- 15 DJ Cosmos 397 deb April 2
25393 98- 42 E Tubsat N SSN-23 deb April 2
11331 79- 32 A Cosmos 1093 April 5
22457 92- 93 EW Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb April 6
20854 90- 81 S FY-1B CZ deb April 7
24314 96- 55 B Echostar 2 Ariane 42P r April 12
15977 85- 74 A Molniya 1-64 April 15?
20966 90-104 A Cosmos 2106 April 22
22033 92- 41 D Insat 2A Spelda April 26
20704 90- 54 E Gorizont 20 aux motor April 30
20338 89- 94 A Molniya 3-36 May 1?
10135 77- 61 B Cosmos 925 r June
15983 85- 74 D Molniya 1-64 r2 June
16934 86- 68 A Molniya 1-68 June
20339 89- 94 B Molniya 3-36 r June
22726 93- 48 D Insat 2B Spelda June
23834 96- 19 B GPS 2-25 Delta 2 r1 June
25235 98- 12 C SNOE Pegasus r June
26085 00- 8 E Globalstar A Delta r June
10860 78- 45 A Cosmos 1005 July
13967 83- 25 D Molniya 1-57 r2 July
23502 95- 8 B Cosmos 2306 r July
24771 97- 16 D Thaicom 3 Spelda July
24878 97- 35 C GPS 2R-2 r2 (PAM-D) July
11268 79- 12 A Cosmos 1077 August
11629 79- 99 A Cosmos 1145 August
20399 89-101 E Cosmos 2054 aux motor August
20698 90- 61 F Cosmos 2085 aux motor August
24321 96- 56 C GPS 2-27 Delta 2 r2 September
20255 89- 78 A Molniya 1-76 October
21025 90-112 F Raduga 26 aux motor October
25032 97- 67 C GPS 2-28 Delta 2 r2 October
25123 97- 85 A Early Bird October
23941 96- 37 B TOMS r November
Notes
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk