SatEvo Decay List #93


SatEvo decay list #93 (issued 2000 February 12)

This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.

In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2000 March 31, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.

   #    Designation    Name              ----- Decay (2000) -----
                                            Predicted   Actual?

 25220   87- 68 AX  Meteor 2-16 deb                 January 30.5
 25176   98- 11 B   COMETS H2 r                    February  1.41
 24614   94- 29 ZS  STEP-2 Pegasus deb             February  2
 26068   00-  5 B   Progress M1-1 Soyuz r          February  2.93
 24148   94- 29 GX  STEP-2 Pegasus deb             February  4
 22702   93- 42 C   GPS 2-21 Delta r2              February  6.08
 22890   83- 75 G   Cosmos 1484 deb                February  6.2
 24331   94- 29 NG  STEP-2 Pegasus deb             February  7
 26043   99- 73 B   C 2368 Molniya-M r1            February  7.59
 22822   93- 11 H   Astro D M-3S2 deb              February  9
  3343   68- 66 E   Explr 39 Scout deb             February  9.9 Note 1
  9854   77- 15 B   Cosmos 895 r          February 14
 19304   61- 15 MD  Transit 4A deb        February 14?
 17124   86- 19 U   Spot 1 Ariane deb     February 15
 24054   94- 29 DB  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    February 15
 25911   99- 49 E   Glblstar 33 Soyuz r   February 17
 24528   94- 29 WC  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    February 18
 25769   99- 30 B   Starshine             February 19
 25752   99- 28 H   USA 144 deb           February 21
 24831   94- 61 E   Cosmos 2292 deb       February 27
 22876   93- 67 B   Cosmos 2265 r            March  1
 24627   94- 29 AAF STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March  7
 20680   74- 89 FE  Thorad Delta 1 deb       March  8
 24343   94- 29 NU  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March  8
 24481   94- 29 UE  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March  8
   179   61- 15 BD  Transit 4A deb           March 11
 25947   99- 58 E   Glblstar 31 Soyuz r      March 11
 23887   96- 34 F   Gorizont 32 aux motor    March 19
 25905   95- 58 J   Cosmos 2322 Zenit deb    March 19
 24112   94- 29 FK  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 24
  4134   69- 82 CW  Thorad Agena D deb       March 25
 24143   94- 29 GS  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 25
 24230   94- 29 LD  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 26
 11331   79- 32 A   Cosmos 1093              April  4
 25965   99- 62 E   Glblstar 29 Soyuz r      April  8
 20919   90- 93 B   Inmarsat2-F1 Delta2 r    April 11
 15977   85- 74 A   Molniya 1-64             April?
 20966   90-104 A   Cosmos 2106              April 29
 10135   77- 61 B   Cosmos 925 r              June
 23502   95-  8 B   Cosmos 2306 r             July
 10860   78- 45 A   Cosmos 1005             August
 11268   79- 12 A   Cosmos 1077             August
 11629   79- 99 A   Cosmos 1145          September
 23941   96- 37 B   TOMS r                November
 25123   97- 85 A   Early Bird             October

Note


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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk


Last updated: 2000 February 12