SatEvo Decay List #90


SatEvo decay list #90 (issued 1999 December 26)

This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.

In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2000 February 5, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.

   #    Designation    Name              --- Decay (1999/2000) ---
                                            Predicted   Actual?

 24034   94- 29 CF  STEP-2 Pegasus deb             December 12
 25058   65- 98 L   Alouette 2 deb                 December 15.2
 19377   88- 69 A   Molniya 1-73                   December 16.22
 23008   92- 93 JE  C 2227 Zenit deb               December 16.9
 23935   78- 96 F   Tiros N deb                    December 17.9
 24109   94- 29 FG  STEP-2 Pegasus deb             December 17.9
 24372   94- 29 PZ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb             December 18
  1832   65- 82 DX  OV2-1/LCS 2 deb                December 18.62
 25974   97- 79 H   Cosmos 2347 deb                December 18.8 Note 1
  7960   72- 58 CQ  Lndst 1 Delta 1 deb            December 18.9
 25790   99- 34 B   QuikScat Titan 2 r             December 20.26
  4869   70- 25 EZ  Thorad Agena D deb             December 21.5
  4981   70- 25 HB  Thorad Agena D deb             December 23.3 Note 1
 16308   79- 17 BX  Solwind deb                    December 23.8
 24110   94- 29 FH  STEP-2 Pegasus deb             December 23.8 Note 1
 24225   94- 29 KY  STEP-2 Pegasus deb             December 25.9
 14447   71- 15 CR  Cosmos 397 deb        December 26
 26041   99- 72 B   C 2367 Tsyklon-2 r    December 26
 15707   83- 44 AA  Cosmos 1461 deb       December 27
 24522   94- 29 UW  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    December 29
 25423   98- 46 L   Orbcomm Pegasus deb   December 30
 21960   85-118 M   C 1710 SL-12 deb      December 30
  7847   72- 58 T   Lndst 1 Delta 1 deb    January  1
 24620   94- 29 ZY  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     January  2
 22564   93- 15 B   UFO 1 r1               January  5
 13964   83- 25 A   Molniya 1-57           January  8?
 25663   94- 29 AEG STEP-2 Pegasus deb     January  9
 25796   80- 89 CK  Cosmos 1220 deb        January 11
 25220   87- 68 AX  Meteor 2-16 deb        January 13
  1962   65- 82 GX  OV2-1/LCS 2 deb        January 14
 16885   86- 57 A   Molniya 1-67           January 14?
 24111   94- 29 FJ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     January 15
 24240   94- 29 LP  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     January 15
  7842   72- 58 N   Lndst 1 Delta 1 deb    January 16
 24388   94- 29 QR  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     January 16
 24368   94- 29 PV  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     January 17
 22346   92- 93 AK  C 2227 Zenit deb       January 18
  7969   75- 56 B   Cosmos 744 r           January 21
 20759   90- 43 L   Macsat Scout G-1 deb   January 21
 24230   94- 29 LD  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     January 21
 24148   94- 29 GX  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     January 25
 22890   83- 75 G   Cosmos 1484 deb        January 27
  3343   68- 66 E   Explr 39 Scout deb     January 28
 22822   93- 11 H   Astro D M-3S2 deb      January 28
 24614   94- 29 ZS  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     January 28
  9854   77- 15 B   Cosmos 895 r          February  1
 24054   94- 29 DB  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    February  1
 17124   86- 19 U   Spot 1 Ariane deb     February  2
 22702   93- 42 C   GPS 2-21 Delta r2     February  5
 25176   98- 11 B   COMETS H2 r           February  5
 25911   99- 49 E   Glblstar 33 Soyuz r   February  7
 25769   99- 30 B   Starshine             February 14
 25947   99- 58 E   Glblstar 31 Soyuz r      March  5
 22876   93- 67 B   Cosmos 2265 r            March  7
 15977   85- 74 A   Molniya 1-64             March?
 20919   90- 93 B   Inmarsat2-F1 Delta2 r    March 15
 11331   79- 32 A   Cosmos 1093              March 24
 25965   99- 62 E   Glblstar 29 Soyuz r      March 24
 16609   86- 17 A   Mir                      March 29  Note 2

Notes


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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk


Last updated: 1999 December 26