SatEvo Decay List #87


SatEvo decay list #87 (issued 1999 November 7)

This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.

In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 1999 December 15, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.

   #    Designation    Name              ----- Decay (1999) -----
                                            Predicted   Actual?

 24349   94- 29 PA  STEP-2 Pegasus deb              October 23
 25550   98- 69 B   SAC-A                           October 25.02
 24744   97- 10 A   Zeya                            October 25.08
 25921   99- 51 C   Ikonos Athena deb               October 25.08
  5093   70- 91 AQ  Cosmos 375 deb                  October 26.5
 13738   82-118 C   DMSP F6 deb                     October 26.5
 24355   94- 29 PG  STEP-2 Pegasus deb              October 27
  5533   71- 15 BX  Cosmos 397 deb                  October 30.5
 24586   94- 29 YN  STEP-2 Pegasus deb              October 30
 25953   99- 54 E   Resurs F-1 M deb                October 31.23
 24128   94- 29 GB  STEP-2 Pegasus deb              October 31    Note 1
 24590   94- 29 YS  STEP-2 Pegasus deb              October 31    Note 1
 24152   94- 29 HB  STEP-2 Pegasus deb             November  1    Note 1
 23563   91- 47 E   PAM-D deb                      November  1.7  Note 1
 24832   97- 28 E   C 2344 SOZ ullage r            November  1.99
 23977   94- 29 X   STEP-2 Pegasus deb             November  2
 24972   97- 57 B   IRS-1D r                       November  4.40
 18128   87- 53 C   DMSP F8 deb                    November  4.9
  7944   72- 58 CK  Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb          November  6.5  Note 1
 24196   94- 29 JX  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    November  7
 24993   94- 29 ADA STEP-2 Pegasus deb    November  7
 25494   98- 56 D   Eutelsat W2 Spelda    November  7
 22661   93- 16 AG  C 2237 Zenit deb      November  9
 25208   87- 68 AK  Meteor 2-16 deb       November  9
 16197   85- 99 E   Molniya 1-65 r2       November 12? Note 2
 24291   96- 50 A   Microsat              November 13
 23995   94- 29 AQ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    November 15
 24266   94- 29 MR  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    November 15
  5761   71- 15 CD  Cosmos 397 deb        November 16
 22386   92- 93 CB  C 2227 Zenit deb      November 17
 24267   94- 29 MS  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    November 17
 22434   92- 93 EB  C 2227 Zenit deb      November 18
  4222   69- 97 B   AZUR Scout r          November 19
 22016   92- 39 C   GPS 2-14 Delta r2     November 20
 24534   94- 29 WJ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    November 22
 22897   83- 75 P   Cosmos 1484 deb       November 23
 24531   94- 29 WF  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    November 23
 22360   92- 93 AZ  C 2227 Zenit deb      November 24
 22534   93- 11 D   Astro D M-3S2 deb     November 24
 25551   98- 69 C   MightySat             November 24
 22847   92- 38 C   Sampex Scout G-1 deb  November 25
 24064   94- 29 DM  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    November 26
 23295   85-116 S   C 1710 Proton deb     November 27
 25934   99- 55 B   GPS 2R-3 Delta 2 r1   Npvember 28
 14610   83-113 E   DMSP F7 deb           November 30
  7853   72- 58 Z   Lndst 1 Delta 1 deb   December  1
 25014   97- 63 B   STEP M4 Pegasus r     December  4
  1844   65-106 B   Cosmos 100 r          December  7
 22334   92- 93 X   C 2227 Zenit deb      December  9
 24109   94- 29 FG  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    December 12
 19377   88- 69 A   Molniya 1-73          December 23
 25790   99- 34 B   QuikScat Titan 2 r    December 30
                                           (2000)
 11474   79- 70 A   Molniya 1-44           January  8?
 13964   83- 25 A   Molniya 1-57           January 10?
 16885   86- 57 A   Molniya 1-67           January 15?
 22564   93- 15 B   UFO 1 r1               January 16
  7969   75- 56 B   Cosmos 744 r           January 17
  9854   77- 15 B   Cosmos 895 r          February
 22702   93- 42 C   GPS 2-21 Delta r2     February
 25176   98- 11 B   COMETS H2 r           February
 25911   99- 49 E   Glblstar 33 Soyuz r   February
 25769   99- 30 B   Starshine             February
 11331   79- 32 A   Cosmos 1093              March
 15977   85- 74 A   Molniya 1-64             March
 22876   93- 67 B   Cosmos 2265 r            March
 25947   99- 58 E   Gstar31? Soyuz r         March
 16609   86- 17 A   Mir                      April

Notes


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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk


Last updated: 1999 November 7