SatEvo decay list #85 (issued 1999 October 2)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 1999 November 15, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (1999) -----
Predicted Actual?
15030 84- 55 D Cosmos 1569 Molniya r2 September 8? Note 2
25817 89-101 P Cosmos 2054 Proton deb September 10?
24491 94- 29 UQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 14
10339 77- 65 DN Himawari 1 Delta deb September 15
24983 94- 29 ACR STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 17
25447 94- 29 AEC STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 17
25712 89-100 BH C 2053 Tsyklon deb September 17 Note 1
22878 93- 68 B GPS 2-23 Delta r1 September 18.07
24121 94- 29 FU STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 21
18461 86- 19 SZ Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb September 23
25903 99- 48 B Foton 12 Soyuz r September 25.12
25926 99- 53 C LMI-1 Proton platform September 27.52
25925 99- 53 B LMI-1 Proton r September 28.51
25920 99- 51 B Ikonos Orb Adj Module September 28.82
25930 99- 54 B Resurs F-1M Soyuz r September 30.11
24445 94- 29 TB STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 30 Note 1
25915 99- 48 C Foton 12 deb September 30
22288 92- 93 C C 2227 Zenit deb October 1 Note 1
25762 99-010 F Raduag 104 aux motor October 1? Note 1
25918 99- 48 F Foton 12 deb October 3
9815 76-126 AB Cosmos 886 deb October 4
15076 84- 63 E Raduga 15 aux motor October 4
24260 94- 29 MK STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 4
25717 89-100 BN C 2053 Tsyklon deb October 8
25228 87- 68 BF Meteor 2-16 deb October 11
25916 99- 48 D Foton 12 deb October 11
24168 94- 29 HT STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 15
25507 98- 60 C SCD-2 Pegasus deb October 17
25680 99- 19 E Glblstar 19 Soyuz r1 October 18
24235 94- 29 LJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 19
25500 98- 25 F C 2350 aux motor October 21
21379 75- 52 CZ Nimbus 6 Delta 1 deb October 23
25917 99- 48 E Foton 12 deb October 25
25921 99- 51 C Ikonos Athena deb October 26
5093 70- 91 AQ Cosmos 375 deb October 27
24744 97- 10 A Zeya October 30
25550 98- 69 B SAC-A October 30
24349 94- 29 PA STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 31
24993 94- 29 ADA STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 31
23563 91- 47 E PAM-D deb November 2
24632 94- 29 AAL STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 2
13738 82-118 C DMSP F6 deb November 4
12134 81- 2 B Molniya 3-14 r2 November 5?
24832 97- 28 E C 2344 SOZ ullage r November 8
24590 94- 29 YS STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 11
25494 98- 56 D Eutelsat W2 Spelda November 11
5533 71- 15 BX Cosmos 397 deb November 12
24972 97- 57 B IRS-1D r November 12
24586 94- 29 YN STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 13
23995 94- 29 AQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 15
4222 69- 97 B AZUR Scout r November 25
22016 92- 39 C GPS 2-14 Delta r2 December 4
24291 96- 50 A Microsat December 4
19377 88- 69 A Molniya 1-73 December
25551 98- 69 C MightySat December
(2000)
1844 65-106 B Cosmos 100 r January
22564 93- 15 B UFO 1 r1 January
22702 93- 42 C GPS 2-21 Delta r2 January
25014 97- 63 B STEP M4 Pegasus r January
25790 99- 34 B QuikScat Titan 2 r January
25176 98- 11 B COMETS H2 r February
7969 75- 56 B Cosmos 744 r March-April
9854 77- 15 B Cosmos 895 r March-April
25911 99- 49 E Glblstar 33 Soyuz r March-April
25769 99- 30 B Starshine April-May
22876 93- 67 B Cosmos 2265 r May-July
16609 86- 17 A Mir May-July
Notes
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk