SatEvo Decay List #82


SatEvo decay list #82 (issued 1999 August 6)

This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.

The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 1999 September 15, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.

   #    Designation    Name              ----- Decay (1999) -----
                                            Predicted   Actual?

 14448   71- 15 CS  Cosmos 397 deb                     July 22
 25820   98- 42 F   Tubsat N SSN-23 deb                July 24
 25780   99- 32 D   Iridium 14A CSL02 S/D              July 25.40
 25871   86- 17 NH  Mir deb                            July 25
 20354   89- 96 C   Granat Proton r                    July 25.67
 25202   87- 68 AD  Meteor 2-16 deb                    July 28
 25870   86- 17 NG  Mir deb                            July 28.62
 25685   99- 15 C   Sputnik 99                         July 29.73
 24582   94- 29 YJ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                 July 30
 25877   86- 17 NJ  Mir deb                            July 31.34
 25216   87- 68 AT  Meteor 2-16 deb                    July 31
 23311   85-118 W   C 1710 Proton deb                August  1
 24374   94- 29 QB  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               August  1
 25879   86- 17 NL  Mir deb                          August  2
 25878   86- 17 NK  Mir deb                          August  3
 25792   99- 35 B   FUSE Delta 2 r                   August  4.23
 22935   83- 75 Y   Cosmos 1484 deb                  August  4  Note 1
 24145   94- 29 GU  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               August  4  Note 1
 18547   70- 25 PP  Nimbus 4 Agena deb      August  6
 25714   89-100 AY  C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb    August  7
 24118   94- 29 FR  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August  9
 25453   87- 68 CA  Meteor 2-16 deb         August 11
 24414   94- 29 RT  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August 12
 24440   94- 29 SW  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August 12
 24495   94- 29 UU  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August 13
 25702   89-100 AX  C 2053 Tsyklon deb      August 13
 25625   99-  4 E   Glblstar 36 Soyuz r1    August 16
 25846   99- 67 D   ISS deb                 August 17
 25447   94- 29 AEC STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August 29
 25819   94- 27 C   SROSS ASLV-D4 deb       August 30
 25099   90-103 D   Navstar 22 deb          August 31
 25712   89-100 BH  C 2053 Tsyklon deb   September  2
 25653   99- 12 E   Glblstar 22 Soyuz r1 September  4
 25764   79-104 F   CAT 1 Ariane 1 deb   September  4
 24272   64- 26 H   Transit 9 deb        September  5
 24373   94- 29 QA  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   September  6
 25691   86- 17 NE  Mir deb              September  9
 25518   98- 63 D   Afristar mini-spelda September 10
 10339   77- 65 DN  Himawari 1 Delta deb September 12
 25446   94- 29 AEB STEP-2 Pegasus deb   September 15
 15076   84- 63 E   Raduga 15 aux motor  September 29
 22878   93- 68 B   GPS 2-23 Delta r1    September 30
 25680   99- 19 E   Glblstar 19 Soyuz r1   October 11
 24744   97- 10 A   Zeya                  November 
 24832   97- 28 E   C 2344 SOZ ullage r   November
 25550   98- 69 B   SAC-A                 November
  4222   69- 97 B   AZUR Scout r          December
 19377   88- 69 A   Molniya 1-73          December
 22016   92- 39 C   GPS 2-14 Delta r2     December
 24972   97- 57 B   IRS-1D r              December
 25551   98- 69 C   MightySat             December
 24291   96- 50 A   Microsat              2000 Jan
 25014   97- 63 B   STEP M4 Pegasus r     2000 Jan
 25500   98- 25 F   C 2350 aux motor      2000 Jan
  1844   65-106 B   Cosmos 100 r          2000 Feb
 22702   93- 42 C   GPS 2-21 Delta r2     2000 Feb
 25790   99- 34 B   QuikScat Titan 2 r    2000 Feb
  7969   75- 56 B   Cosmos 744 r          2000 Mar - Apr
  9854   77- 15 B   Cosmos 895 r          2000 Mar - Apr
 22564   93- 15 B   UFO 1 r1              2000 Mar - Apr
 22876   93- 67 B   Cosmos 2265 r         2000 Mar - Apr
 25176   98- 11 B   COMETS H2 r           2000 Mar - Apr
 25769   99- 30 B   Starshine             2000 Mar - Apr
 16609   86- 17 A   Mir                   2000 Jun - Sep

Note


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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk


Last updated: 1999 August 6