SatEvo decay list #81 (issued 1999 July 23)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 1999 August 31, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (1999) -----
Predicted Actual?
24096 94- 29 ET STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 6
25703 89-100 AY C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb July 7 Note 2
23540 83- 75 BD Cosmos 1484 deb July 9
24003 94- 29 AY STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 10
20227 87- 20 DM Cosmos 1823 deb July 11
23997 94- 29 AS STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 11
25686 86- 17 MZ Mir deb July 11
25198 87- 68 Z Meteor 2-16 deb July 12 Note 2
25779 99- 32 C Iridium 14A CSL02 r July 13.09
24215 94- 29 KN STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 14
19173 64- 6 S Elektron 1 deb July 15 Note 2
17323 86- 19 DF Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb July 16
14168 83- 65 C Galaxy 1 PAM D r July 17.13
25856 97- 5 C Muses B M-5 deb July 17
19454 77- 65 FZ Himawari 1 Delta deb July 18 Notes 1,2
24488 94- 29 UM STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 18
25859 99- 38 B Progress M-42 Soyuz-U r July 19.04
25849 99- 36 C Molniya 3-50 platform July 21.11
17041 86- 79 D Molniya 3-30 r2 July 22.75
24001 94- 29 AW STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 22 Note 2
25848 99- 36 B Molniya 3-50 Molniya r1 July 23.80
14448 71- 15 CS Cosmos 397 deb July 24
25780 99- 32 D Iridium 14A CSL02 S/D July 25.1
25820 98- 42 F Tubsat N SSN-23 deb July 25
20354 89- 96 C Granat Proton r July 25.67
25202 87- 68 AD Meteor 2-16 deb July 27
25685 99- 15 C Sputnik 99 July 29
24374 94- 29 QB STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 30
25216 87- 68 AT Meteor 2-16 deb July 30
24582 94- 29 YJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 31
23311 85-118 W C 1710 Proton deb August 3
24145 94- 29 GU STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 4
25792 99- 35 B FUSE Delta 2 r August 6
22935 83- 75 Y Cosmos 1484 deb August 7
25714 89-100 AY C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb August 10
18547 70- 25 PP Nimbus 4 Agena deb August 11
24440 94- 29 SW STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 11
24118 94- 29 FR STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 12
25702 89-100 AX C 2053 Tsyklon deb August 12
24495 94- 29 UU STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 15
24414 94- 29 RT STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 17
25453 87- 68 CA Meteor 2-16 deb August 17
25846 99- 67 D ISS deb August 21
25099 90-103 D Navstar 22 deb August 25
25625 99- 4 E Glblstar 36 Soyuz r1 August 25
25447 94- 29 AEC STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 27
25712 89-100 BH C 2053 Tsyklon deb August 27
25653 99- 12 E Glblstar 22 Soyuz r1 September 4
25819 94- 27 C SROSS ASLV-D4 deb September 13
25518 98- 63 D Afristar mini-spelda September 17
22878 93- 68 B GPS 2-23 Delta r1 September 26
15076 84- 63 E Raduga 15 aux motor October
25680 99- 19 E Glblstar 19 Soyuz r1 October
4222 69- 97 B AZUR Scout r November
24744 97- 10 A Zeya November
24832 97- 28 E C 2344 SOZ ullage r November
25550 98- 69 B SAC-A November
22016 92- 39 C GPS 2-14 Delta r2 December
24972 97- 57 B IRS-1D r December
25500 98- 25 F C 2350 aux motor December
25551 98- 69 C MightySat December
1844 65-106 B Cosmos 100 r 2000 Jan - Feb
22702 93- 42 C GPS 2-21 Delta r2 2000 Jan - Feb
24291 96- 50 A Microsat 2000 Jan - Feb
25014 97- 63 B STEP M4 Pegasus r 2000 Jan - Feb
25790 99- 34 B QuikScat Titan 2 r 2000 Jan - Feb
22564 93- 15 B UFO 1 r1 2000 Jan - Feb
7969 75- 56 B Cosmos 744 r 2000 Mar - Apr
25176 98- 11 B COMETS H2 r 2000 Mar - Apr
16609 86- 17 A Mir 2000 Jun - Sep
Notes
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk