SatEvo decay list #80 (issued 1999 July 6)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 1999 August 15, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (1999) -----
Predicted Actual?
12280 78- 26 DZ Landsat 3 Delta deb June 22
23558 86- 17 JE GFZ 1 June 23.09
23690 86- 17 JM Mir deb June 23
24609 94- 29 ZM STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 24
22948 83- 75 AM Cosmos 1484 deb June 25
24589 94- 29 YR STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 25
25710 89-100 BF C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb June 26
24490 94- 29 UP STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 27
16686 86- 31 D Molniya 3-28 r2 June 28.44
24248 94- 29 LX STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 28
25687 86- 17 NA Mir deb June 28
25794 80- 89 CH Cosmos 1220 deb June 28
21073 90-105 S DMSP F10 deb July 1
25711 89-100 BG C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb July 1 Note 2
25719 89-100 BQ C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb July 1 Note 2
25670 99- 17 B DSP 19 Titan 4 r July 2.07
24173 94- 29 HY STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 3
12133 81- 2 A Molniya 3-14 July 3.69
22902 83- 75 U Cosmos 1484 deb July 4
24193 94- 29 JU STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 4 Note 2
25704 89-100 AZ C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb July 5 Notes 1,2
24096 94- 29 ET STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 6
25703 89-100 AY C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb July 7
20227 87- 20 DM Cosmos 1823 deb July 9
23540 83- 75 BD Cosmos 1484 deb July 9
23997 94- 29 AS STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 10
24003 94- 29 AY STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 10
25198 87- 68 Z Meteor 2-16 deb July 11
25686 86- 17 MZ Mir deb July 11
24215 94- 29 KN STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 13
25779 99- 32 C Iridium 14A CSL02 r July 14
17323 86- 19 DF Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb July 15
19173 64- 6 S Elektron 1 deb July 15
24488 94- 29 UM STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 16
24001 94- 29 AW STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 18
14168 83- 65 C Galaxy 1 PAM D r July 19
25820 98- 42 F Tubsat N SSN-23 deb July 20
19454 77- 65 FZ Himawari 1 Delta deb July 22
25780 99- 32 D Iridium 14A CSL02 S/D July 22
17041 86- 79 D Molniya 3-30 r2 July 25
14448 71- 15 CS Cosmos 397 deb July 24
24374 94- 29 QB STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 1
25202 87- 68 AD Meteor 2-16 deb August 1
25685 99- 15 C Sputnik 99 August 1
24582 94- 29 YJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 3
18547 70- 25 PP Nimbus 4 Agena deb August 4
24145 94- 29 GU STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 5
25792 99- 35 B FUSE Delta 2 r August 6
22935 83- 75 Y Cosmos 1484 deb August 8
25819 94- 27 C SROSS ASLV-D4 deb August 9
23311 85-118 W C 1710 Proton deb August 10
25625 99- 4 E Glblstar 36 Soyuz r1 August 12
25216 87- 68 AT Meteor 2-16 deb August 14
25714 89-100 AY C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb August 14
25846 99- 67 D ISS deb August 18
25653 99- 12 E Glblstar 22 Soyuz r1 September 1
25518 98- 63 D Afristar mini-spelda September 18
22878 93- 68 B GPS 2-23 Delta r1 September 30
4222 69- 97 B AZUR Scout r October
15076 84- 63 E Raduga 15 aux motor November
22016 92- 39 C GPS 2-14 Delta r2 November
24744 97- 10 A Zeya November
24832 97- 28 E C 2344 SOZ ullage r November
24972 97- 57 B IRS-1D r November
25500 98- 25 F C 2350 aux motor November
25550 98- 69 B SAC-A November
25680 99- 19 E Glblstar 19 Soyuz r1 November
1844 65-106 B Cosmos 100 r 2000 January
22702 93- 42 C GPS 2-21 Delta r2 2000 January
24291 96- 50 A Microsat 2000 January
25014 97- 63 B STEP M4 Pegasus r 2000 January
25551 98- 69 C MightySat 2000 January
25790 99- 34 B QuikScat Titan 2 r 2000 January
16609 86- 17 A Mir 2000 February
22564 93- 15 B UFO 1 r1 2000 February
7969 75- 56 B Cosmos 744 r 2000 Mar - Apr
25176 98- 11 B COMETS H2 r 2000 Mar - Apr
Notes
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk