SatEvo decay list #79 (issued 1999 June 22)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 1999 July 31, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (1999) -----
Predicted Actual?
24162 94- 29 HM STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 7
23186 94- 43 B APStar 1 CZ-3 r June 8.15
25690 86- 17 ND Mir deb June 8
25185 87- 68 L Meteor 2-16 deb June 10
25716 89-100 BM C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb June 11
25701 89-100 AW C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb June 12
25700 89-100 AV C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb June 14 Note 1
4120 69- 84 B Meteor 1-2 r June 15.01
24203 94- 29 KE STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 15
25784 99- 32 H Iridium 14A S/D deb June 15 Note 1
25782 99- 32 F Iridium 14A S/D deb June 15
25781 99- 32 E Iridium 14A S/D deb June 16
25783 99- 32 G Iridium 14A S/D deb June 16 Note 1
25718 89-100 BP C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb June 17 Note 1
25787 99- 33 C Astra 1H Proton platform June 18.71
21521 75- 52 GS Nimbus 6 Delta 1 deb June 19 Note 1
25786 99- 33 B Astra 1H Proton r June 20.05
24088 94- 29 EK STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 21 Note 1
12280 78- 26 DZ Landsat 3 Delta deb June 22
23558 86- 17 JE GFZ 1 June 23.0
23690 86- 17 JM Mir deb June 23
16686 86- 31 D Molniya 3-28 r2 June 24.2
24609 94- 29 ZM STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 24
24589 94- 29 YR STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 25
22948 83- 75 AM Cosmos 1484 deb June 26
25710 89-100 BF C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb June 26
24490 94- 29 UP STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 27
24248 94- 29 LX STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 29
25687 86- 17 NA Mir deb June 30
25711 89-100 BG C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb June 30
25719 89-100 BQ C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb July 1
25670 99- 17 B DSP 19 Titan 4 r July 2
21073 90-105 S DMSP F10 deb July 3
12133 81- 2 A Molniya 3-14 July 4
22902 83- 75 U Cosmos 1484 deb July 5
24173 94- 29 HY STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 5
24193 94- 29 JU STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 6
23997 94- 29 AS STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 7
24096 94- 29 ET STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 7
23540 83- 75 BD Cosmos 1484 deb July 8
24003 94- 29 AY STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 10
25704 89-100 AZ C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb July 10
14168 83- 65 C Galaxy 1 PAM D r July 14
19173 64- 6 S Elektron 1 deb July 14
25198 87- 68 Z Meteor 2-16 deb July 14
25703 89-100 AY C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb July 14
25779 99- 32 C Iridium 14A CSL02 r July 15
25686 86- 17 MZ Mir deb July 16
17323 86- 19 DF Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb July 18
19454 77- 65 FZ Himawari 1 Delta deb July 20
24001 94- 29 AW STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 22
20227 87- 20 DM Cosmos 1823 deb July 23
24488 94- 29 UM STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 23
17041 86- 79 D Molniya 3-30 r2 July 25
14448 71- 15 CS Cosmos 397 deb July 29
23311 85-118 W C 1710 Proton deb July 29
25202 87- 68 AD Meteor 2-16 deb July 31
25685 99- 21 A Sputnik 99 August 4
25780 99- 32 D Iridium 14A CSL02 S/D August 4
25625 99- 4 E Glblstar 36 Soyuz r1 August 7
22878 93- 68 B GPS 2-23 Delta r1 September 29
4222 69- 97 B AZUR Scout r October
15076 84- 63 E Raduga 15 aux motor October
25500 98- 25 F C 2350 aux motor October
25653 99- 12 E Glblstar 22 Soyuz r1 October
24744 97- 10 A Zeya November
24972 97- 57 B IRS-1D r November
25550 98- 69 B SAC-A November
22016 92- 39 C Navstar 26 Del 2 r2 December
24832 97- 28 E C 2344 SOZ ullage r December
25518 98- 63 D Afristar mini-spelda December
1844 65-106 B Cosmos 100 r 2000 Jan - Feb
22702 93- 42 C GPS 2-21 Delta r2 2000 Jan - Feb
24291 96- 50 A Microsat 2000 Jan - Feb
25014 97- 63 B STEP M4 Pegasus r 2000 Jan - Feb
25551 98- 69 C MightySat 2000 Jan - Feb
25680 99- 19 E Glblstar 19 Soyuz r1 2000 Jan - Feb
7969 75- 56 B Cosmos 744 r 2000 Mar - Apr
16609 86- 17 A Mir 2000 Mar - Apr
22564 93- 15 B UFO 1 r1 2000 Mar - Apr
25176 98- 11 B COMETS H2 r 2000 Mar - Apr
Note
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk