SatEvo decay list #77 (issued 1999 May 17)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 1999 June 30, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (1999) -----
Predicted Actual?
23578 94- 85 Y Rad Rosto deb May 1 Note 1
388 62- 39 D FTV 3502 Scout r May 2.87
24598 94- 29 ZA STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 3
25699 89-100 AU C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb May 4?
22583 93- 17 C GPS 2-19 r1 May 4.92
18744 87- 20 X Cosmos 1823 deb May 6
24042 94- 29 CP STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 6
25206 87- 68 AH Meteor 2-16 deb May 6 Note 1
25705 89-100 BA C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb May 6 Note 1
25706 89-100 BB C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb May 6 Note 1
25188 87- 68 P Meteor 2-16 deb May 7 Note 1
25729 99- 24 C Orion 3 deb May 7
8755 76- 24 B Cosmos 808 r May 8.36
11553 79- 4 D Molniya 3-11 r2 May 8.60
25692 86- 17 NF Mir deb May 10
25696 89-100 AR C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb May 10 Note 1
25698 89-100 AT C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb May 11
25707 89-100 BC C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb May 11
22508 92- 93 GT C 2227 Zenit deb May 12
24013 94- 29 BJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 12
24229 94- 29 LC STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 12
25715 89-100 BL C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb May 15
25347 98- 32 F Iridium 70 Delta r May 15.60
14492 77- 65 FH Himawari 1 Delta deb May 19
25697 89-100 AS C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb May 19
8538 72- 58 GM Landsat 1 Delta deb May 21
22497 92- 93 GG C 2227 Zenit deb May 21
19532 88- 89 B NOAA 11 deb May 22
25252 87- 68 BV Meteor 2-16 deb May 23
25708 89-100 BD C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb May 24
25713 89-100 BJ C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb May 24
25185 87- 68 L Meteor 2-16 deb May 26
13469 81- 53 FR Cosmos 1275 deb May 27
25055 78- 64 J Seasat 1 deb May 29
25139 98- 2 F Skynet 4D Delta 2 deb May 30
25701 89-100 AW C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb June 1
25683 99- 20 B Landsat 7 Delta 2 r June 2
20352 89- 96 A Granat June 3
25700 89-100 AV C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb June 3
24319 96- 49 E FAST Pegasus deb June 4
25716 89-100 BM C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb June 4
5432 70- 89 BY Cosmos 374 deb June 6
25718 89-100 BP C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb June 6
25710 89-100 BF C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb June 8
23311 85-118 W C 1710 Proton deb June 9?
24162 94- 29 HM STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 11
25690 86- 17 ND Mir deb June 12
23186 94- 43 B APStar 1 CZ-3 r June 13
25728 99- 24 B Orion 3 Delta 3 r June 14
25711 89-100 BG C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb June 15
24589 94- 29 YR STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 17
24609 94- 29 ZM STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 18
25704 89-100 AZ C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb June 18
24203 94- 29 KE STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 19
25719 89-100 BQ C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb June 20
4120 69- 84 B Meteor 1-2 r June 21
25703 89-100 AY C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb June 25
24096 94- 29 ET STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 26
21521 75- 52 GS Nimbus 6 Delta 1 deb June 27
23558 86- 17 JE GFZ 1 June 28
23690 86- 17 JM Mir deb June 29
24088 94- 29 EK STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 30
25670 99- 17 B DSP 19 Titan 4 r July 11
14168 83- 65 C Galaxy 1 PAM D r July 20
12133 81- 2 A Molniya 3-14 July 26
25500 98- 25 F C 2350 aux motor August
25685 99- 21 A Sputnik 99 August
15076 84- 63 E Raduga 15 aux motor September
25625 99- 4 E Glblstar 36 Soyuz r1 September
22878 93- 68 B GPS 2-23 Delta r1 October
24744 97- 10 A Zeya October
25550 98- 69 B SAC-A November
25653 99- 12 E Glblstar 22 Soyuz r1 November
25680 99- 19 E Glblstar 19 Soyuz r1 November
24832 97- 28 E C 2344 SOZ ullage r December
24972 97- 57 B IRS-1D r December
25551 98- 69 C MightySat December
1844 65-106 B Cosmos 100 r 2000 Jan - Feb
7969 75- 56 B Cosmos 744 r 2000 Jan - Feb
22016 92- 39 C Navstar 26 Del 2 r2 2000 Jan - Feb
22564 93- 15 B UFO 1 r1 2000 Jan - Feb
22702 93- 42 C GPS 2-21 Delta r2 2000 Jan - Feb
25014 97- 63 B STEP M4 Pegasus r 2000 Jan - Feb
Note
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk