SatEvo decay list #76 (issued 1999 May 2)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 1999 June 15 (as in my previous list), although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date. In general, decay dates have slipped since last time and a number of objects, mostly debris, have dropped off the list. Several recently catalogued debris objects from the Cosmos 2053 Tsyklon-3 rocket seem likely to decay within the coming weeks; to date, these have too few published elsets for me to predict their decay.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (1999) -----
Predicted Actual?
24605 94- 29 ZH STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 20
25689 86- 17 NC Mir deb April 21
24428 94- 29 SG STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 24 Note 2
25182 87- 68 H Meteor 2-16 deb April 24 Note 2
24180 94- 29 JF STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 27 Note 2
25688 86- 17 NB Mir deb April 27 Note 2
24545 94- 29 WV STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 28 Note 2
25245 87- 68 BN Meteor 2-16 deb April 29 Note 2
12519 81- 54 E Molniya 3-16 r2 April 30.13
25222 87- 68 AZ Meteor 2-16 deb April 30 Note 2
388 62- 39 D FTV 3502 Scout r May 3.0
23578 94- 85 Y Rad Rosto deb May 3
24598 94- 29 ZA STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 3
22583 93- 17 C GPS 2-19 r1 May 5.0
18744 87- 20 X Cosmos 1823 deb May 6
25188 87- 68 P Meteor 2-16 deb May 6? Note 1
8755 76- 24 B Cosmos 808 r May 7
24042 94- 29 CP STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 7
11553 79- 4 D Molniya 3-11 r2 May 8
22508 92- 93 GT C 2227 Zenit deb May 11
24013 94- 29 BJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 11
25252 87- 68 BV Meteor 2-16 deb May 11? Note 1
24229 94- 29 LC STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 12
25206 87- 68 AH Meteor 2-16 deb May 12 Note 1
25692 86- 17 NF Mir deb May 13
14492 77- 65 FH Himawari 1 Delta deb May 15
25347 98- 32 F Iridium 70 Delta r May 17
22497 92- 93 GG C 2227 Zenit deb May 23
19532 88- 89 B NOAA 11 deb May 27
25683 99- 20 B Landsat 7 Delta 2 r May 27
8538 72- 58 GM Landsat 1 Delta deb May 28
13469 81- 53 FR Cosmos 1275 deb May 29
25139 98- 2 F Skynet 4D Delta 2 deb May 30
20352 89- 96 A Granat June 3
25690 86- 17 ND Mir deb June 8
5432 70- 89 BY Cosmos 374 deb June 10
24162 94- 29 HM STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 12
25055 78- 64 J Seasat 1 deb June 12
24203 94- 29 KE STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 14
23186 94- 43 B APStar 1 CZ-3 r June 17
4120 69- 84 B Meteor 1-2 r June 22
23558 86- 17 JE GFZ 1 June 26
25670 99- 17 B DSP 19 Titan 4 r July 9
14168 83- 65 C Galaxy 1 PAM D r July 15
12133 81- 2 A Molniya 3-14 July?
25500 98- 25 F C 2350 aux motor August
25685 99- 21 A Sputnik 99 August
15076 84- 63 E Raduga 15 aux motor September
25625 99- 4 E Glblstar 36 Soyuz r1 September
22878 93- 68 B GPS 2-23 Delta r1 October
25653 99- 12 E Glblstar 22 Soyuz r1 October
25550 98- 69 B SAC-A November
25680 99- 19 E Glblstar 19 Soyuz r1 November
24832 97- 28 E C 2344 SOZ ullage r December
22016 92- 39 C Navstar 26 Del 2 r2 2000 Jan - Feb
22564 93- 15 B UFO 1 r1 2000 Jan - Feb
22702 93- 42 C GPS 2-21 Delta r2 2000 Jan - Feb
24972 97- 57 B IRS-1D r 2000 Jan - Feb
25014 97- 63 B STEP M4 Pegasus r 2000 Jan - Feb
25551 98- 69 C MightySat 2000 Jan - Feb
Notes
Return to the SatEvo decay list archive
Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk