SatEvo decay list #74 (issued 1999 April 4)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 1999 May 31, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (1999) -----
Predicted Actual?
25426 94- 29 ADS STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 22
25658 99- 13 B AsiaSat 3S Proton r March 22.59
25607 99- 1 C MPL Delta 2 r1 March 23.08
24693 94- 29 ABB STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 24? Notes 1,2
25565 98- 69 E STS-88 socket March 26
25207 87- 68 AJ Meteor 2-16 deb March 29 Mote 2
22428 92- 93 DV C 2227 Zenit deb March 31
24141 94- 29 GQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 31 Note 2
24624 94- 29 AAC STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 31 Note 2
25125 97- 85 C Earlybird 1 Start 1 deb March 31 Note 2
25580 98- 74 D Iridm 11A Smart Disp April 1.53
8940 75- 4 W Landsat 2 Delta 1 deb April 3 Note 2
23980 94- 29 AA STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 3 Note 2
25665 99- 15 B Progress M-41 Soyuz-U r April 4.5
25212 87- 68 AP Meteor 2-16 deb April 5
17551 86- 19 JF Spot 1 Ariane deb April 6
25564 98- 69 D STS-88 wire carrier April 8
18154 87- 53 D DMSP F8 deb April 11
7418 74- 66 B Cosmos 673 r April 14
20047 78- 26 HT Landsat 3 Delta deb April 14
24075 94- 29 DW STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 14
24447 94- 29 SP STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 15
14329 83- 94 B Satcom 2R Delta r April 18
25218 87- 68 AV Meteor 2-16 deb April 18 Note 3
24605 94- 29 ZH STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 19
25496 98- 57 B Hotbird 5 Centaur r April 19
24428 94- 29 SG STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 23
25222 87- 68 AZ Meteor 2-16 deb April 25
24545 94- 29 WV STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 28
24180 94- 29 JF STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 29
25182 87- 68 H Meteor 2-16 deb April 29
388 62- 39 D FTV 3502 Scout r April 30
11553 79- 4 D Molniya 3-11 r2 April 30?
14492 77- 65 FH Himawari 1 Delta deb April 30
25206 87- 68 AH Meteor 2-16 deb April 30
24042 94- 29 CP STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 1
24229 94- 29 LC STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 1
24598 94- 29 ZA STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 2
25188 87- 68 P Meteor 2-16 deb May 4
25245 87- 68 BN Meteor 2-16 deb May 4
12519 81- 54 E Molniya 3-16 r2 May 5
22583 93- 17 C GPS 2-19 r1 May 5
24319 96- 49 E FAST Pegasus deb May 5
8755 76- 24 B Cosmos 808 r May 7
22508 92- 93 GT C 2227 Zenit deb May 8
24013 94- 29 BJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 8
18744 87- 20 X Cosmos 1823 deb May 12
21521 75- 52 GS Nimbus 6 Delta 1 deb May 12
25139 98- 2 F Skynet 4D Delta 2 deb May 13
25347 98- 32 F Iridium 70 Delta r May 17
19532 88- 89 B NOAA 11 deb May 18
8538 72- 58 GM Landsat 1 Delta deb May 21
12133 81- 2 A Molniya 3-14 May 21?
24162 94- 29 HM STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 23
23186 94- 43 B APStar 1 CZ-3 r June 1
20352 89- 96 A Granat June 3
5432 70- 89 BY Cosmos 374 deb June 5
4120 69- 84 B Meteor 1-2 r June 12
23558 86- 17 JE GFZ 1 June 22
14168 83- 65 C Galaxy 1 PAM D r July
25500 98- 25 F C 2350 aux motor July
25625 99- 4 E Glblstar 36 Soyuz r1 August
25653 99- 12 E Glblstar 22 Soyuz r1 August
15076 84- 63 E Raduga 15 aux motor September
22878 93- 68 B GPS 2-23 Delta r1 October
25550 98- 69 B SAC-A October
22016 92- 39 C Navstar 26 Del 2 r2 November
24291 96- 50 A Microsat November
24832 97- 28 E C 2344 SOZ ullage r November
24972 97- 57 B IRS-1D r November
25551 98- 69 C MightySat November
1844 65-106 B Cosmos 100 r December
4222 69- 97 B AZUR Scout r December
Notes
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk