SatEvo decay list #73 (issued 1999 March 21)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 1999 May 15, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (1999) -----
Predicted Actual?
24430 94- 29 SJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 8
25213 87- 68 AQ Meteor 2-16 deb March 10? Note 1
23863 96- 29 G NOSS 2-3 r March 12.45
175 61- 15 AZ Transit 4a r deb March 13.2
25472 98- 51 F Iridium 82 Delta r March 15.79
25166 98- 8 E Globalstar 1 Delta r March 16.26
25452 87- 68 BZ Meteor 2-16 deb March 16 Note 2
15440 84-123 B NOAA 9 deb March 17
24325 96- 49 F FAST Pegasus deb March 18 Note 2
25562 98- 71 C SWAS Pegasus deb March 18 Note 2
25659 99- 13 C AsiaSat 3S Proton platform March 21.57
25426 94- 29 ADS STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 22
25658 99- 13 B AsiaSat 3S Proton r March 22.6
25607 99- 1 C MPL Delta 2 r1 March 23.1
24693 94- 29 ABB STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 24? Note 1
25207 87- 68 AJ Meteor 2-16 deb March 25
25212 87- 68 AP Meteor 2-16 deb March 26
25565 98- 69 E STS-88 socket March 26
24624 94- 29 AAC STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 27
24141 94- 29 GQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 28
22428 92- 93 DV C 2227 Zenit deb March 29
23980 94- 29 AA STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 30
25125 97- 85 C Earlybird 1 Start 1 deb March 30
8940 75- 4 W Landsat 2 Delta 1 deb April 1
17551 86- 19 JF Spot 1 Ariane deb April 1
25564 98- 69 D STS-88 wire carrier April 3
25580 98- 74 D Iridm 11A Smart Disp April 3
18154 87- 53 D DMSP F8 deb April 4
20047 78- 26 HT Landsat 3 Delta deb April 9
24075 94- 29 DW STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 9
7418 74- 66 B Cosmos 673 r April 11
24605 94- 29 ZH STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 12
25218 87- 68 AV Meteor 2-16 deb April 12
14329 83- 94 B Satcom 2R Delta r April 13
24428 94- 29 SG STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 13
25222 87- 68 AZ Meteor 2-16 deb April 13
25218 87- 68 AV Meteor 2-16 deb April 19
25182 87- 68 H Meteor 2-16 deb April 21
22508 92- 93 GT C 2227 Zenit deb April 23
24180 94- 29 JF STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 23
24319 96- 49 E FAST Pegasus deb April 24
388 62- 39 D FTV 3502 Scout r April 27
25188 87- 68 P Meteor 2-16 deb April 28
14492 77- 65 FH Himawari 1 Delta deb May 1
18744 87- 20 X Cosmos 1823 deb May 2
22583 93- 17 C GPS 2-19 r1 May 3
25206 87- 68 AH Meteor 2-16 deb May 3
8755 76- 24 B Cosmos 808 r May 4
25347 98- 32 F Iridium 70 Delta r May 4
24229 94- 29 LC STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 6
12519 81- 54 E Molniya 3-16 r2 May 7
25245 87- 68 BN Meteor 2-16 deb May 7
19532 88- 89 B NOAA 11 deb May 8
24162 94- 29 HM STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 8
8538 72- 58 GM Landsat 1 Delta deb May 10
5432 70- 89 BY Cosmos 374 deb May 12
20352 89- 96 A Granat June 3
4120 69- 84 B Meteor 1-2 r June 4
23186 94- 43 B APStar 1 CZ-3 r June 10
23558 86- 17 JE GFZ 1 June 13
25496 98- 57 B Hotbird 5 Centaur r June
14168 83- 65 C Galaxy 1 PAM D r August
25625 99- 4 E Glblstar 36 Soyuz r1 August
25653 99- 12 E Glblstar 22 Soyuz r1 August
15076 84- 63 E Raduga 15 aux motor October
24972 97- 57 B IRS-1D r October
25550 98- 69 B SAC-A October
24291 96- 50 A Microsat November
24832 97- 28 E C 2344 SOZ ullage r November
25551 98- 69 C MightySat November
1844 65-106 B Cosmos 100 r December
Notes
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk