SatEvo Decay List #72


SatEvo decay list #72 (issued 1999 March 7)

This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.

The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 1999 April 30, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.

   #    Designation    Name              ----- Decay (1999) -----
                                            Predicted   Actual?

 19145   87- 20 BE  Cosmos 1823 deb                February 20
 25633   99-  7 B   Soyuz TM-29 Soyuz r            February 21.76
 23973   94- 29 T   STEP-2 Pegasus deb             February 23
 22440   92- 93 EH  C 2227 Zenit deb               February 24
 16683   86- 31 A   Molniya 3-28                   February 24.99
 24224   94- 29 KX  STEP-2 Pegasus deb             February 25
 14356   81- 53 HS  Cosmos 1275 deb                February 28
 15551   69- 82 KQ  OPS 1807 T-Agena deb           February 28
 25644   99- 10 C   Raduga 104 Proton platform     February 28.87
 23993   94- 29 AP  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                March  2  Note 2
 25643   99- 10 B   Raduga 104 Proton r               March  2.51
 24270   94- 29 MV  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                March  4  Note 2
 24369   94- 29 PW  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                March  4? Notes 1,2
 25197   87- 68 Y   Meteor 2-16 deb                   March  4  Note 2
 25186   87- 68 M   Meteor 2-16 deb                   March  5? Notes 1,2
 24430   94- 29 SJ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March  8
 23863   96- 29 G   NOSS 2-3 r               March 10  Note 3
 25213   87- 68 AQ  Meteor 2-16 deb          March 10? Note 1
   175   61- 15 AZ  Transit 4a r deb         March 13
 25472   98- 51 F   Iridium 82 Delta r       March 15
 24325   96- 49 F   FAST Pegasus deb         March 17
 25166   98-  8 E   Globalstar 1 Delta r     March 20
 25452   87- 68 BZ  Meteor 2-16 deb          March 20
 15440   84-123 B   NOAA 9 deb               March 21
 25426   94- 29 ADS STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 23
 24693   94- 29 ABB STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 24? Note 1
 25562   98- 71 C   SWAS Pegasus deb         March 24
 25607   99-  1 C   MPL Delta 2 r1           March 28
 25565   98- 69 E   STS-88 socket            March 30
 25125   97- 85 C   Earlybird 1 Start 1 deb  April  4
  8940   75-  4 W   Landsat 2 Delta 1 deb    April  6
 22428   92- 93 DV  C 2227 Zenit deb         April  6
 25185   87- 68 L   Meteor 2-16 deb          April 11
 25207   87- 68 AJ  Meteor 2-16 deb          April 11
 17551   86- 19 JF  Spot 1 Ariane deb        April 12
 25580   98- 74 D   Iridm 11A Smart Disp     April 12
 24141   94- 29 GQ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       April 13
 18154   87- 53 D   DMSP F8 deb              April 16
 20047   78- 26 HT  Landsat 3 Delta deb      April 18
  7418   74- 66 B   Cosmos 673 r             April 21
 25564   98- 69 D   STS-88 wire carrier      April 21
 23980   94- 29 AA  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       April 22
 24075   94- 29 DW  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       April 23
 14329   83- 94 B   Satcom 2R Delta r        April 28
 24180   94- 29 JF  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       April 28
 22583   93- 17 C   GPS 2-19 r1                May  4
   388   62- 39 D   FTV 3502 Scout r           May  7
 12519   81- 54 E   Molniya 3-16 r2            May  7
  8755   76- 24 B   Cosmos 808 r               May 13
 25347   98- 32 F   Iridium 70 Delta r         May 15
 20352   89- 96 A   Granat                    June  3
  4120   69- 84 B   Meteor 1-2 r              June
 23186   94- 43 B   APStar 1 CZ-3 r           June
 25625   99-  4 E   Glblstar M36 Soyuz r1   August

Notes


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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk


Last updated: 1999 March 7