SatEvo decay list #69 (issued 1999 January 19)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 1999 March 15, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date. With drag rates having been low since my previous list, most decay dates have slipped.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (1999) -----
Predicted Actual?
24345 94- 29 NW STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 4
25421 98- 46 J Orbcomm 13 Pegasus r January 4.95
24086 94- 29 EH STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 5
21083 90- 81 CJ FY-1B CZ-4 deb January 6
25192 87- 68 T Meteor 2-16 deb January 6
25532 98- 66 F Iridium 2 Delta r January 7.46
25440 94- 29 ADV STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 7? Notes 2,3
4583 70- 85 A Meteor 1-6 January 8.25
24159 94- 29 HJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 8
21148 91- 17 B Lacrosse 2 r January 9.12
25455 87- 68 CC Meteor 2-16 deb January 10
25533 98- 62 C Sputnik 41 January 11.32
25230 87- 68 BH Meteor 2-16 deb January 14 Note 3
23974 94- 29 U STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 16 Note 3
22896 83 -75 N Cosmos 1484 deb January 17
23066 89- 89 BM COBE deb January 19
24532 94- 29 WG STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 20
25579 98- 74 C Iridium 11A CZ-2C r January 20
25247 87- 68 BQ Meteor 2-16 deb January 21
23972 94- 29 S STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 23
25193 87- 68 U Meteor 2-16 deb January 26
3564 68- 97 Q Cosmos 252 deb January 27
25211 87- 68 AN Meteor 2-16 deb January 27
24542 94- 29 WS STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 28
25065 97- 74 C ETS-7 r January 28
24038 94- 29 CK STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 30
24019 94- 29 BQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 31
24405 94- 29 RJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 1
24565 94- 29 XR STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 2
23529 95- 13 B Intlst 705 Centaur r February 4
23075 89- 89 BW COBE deb February 5? Note 2
25186 87- 68 M Meteor 2-16 deb February 5
25217 87- 68 AU Meteor 2-16 deb February 6
24228 94- 29 LB STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 7
14356 81- 53 HS Cosmos 1275 deb February 8
19145 87- 20 BE Cosmos 1823 deb February 10
22584 93- 17 D GPS 2-19 r2 February 10
25197 87- 68 Y Meteor 2-16 deb February 11
22440 92- 93 EH C 2227 Zenit deb February 12
5399 71- 67 L OV1-20/OV1-21 deb February 13
25213 87- 68 AQ Meteor 2-16 deb February 14
23993 94- 29 AP STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 16
24224 94- 29 KX STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 16
16187 85- 99 A Molniya 1-65 February 19?
19771 89- 4 E Gorizont 17 aux mot February 21
24369 94- 29 PW STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 21
15551 69- 82 KQ OPS 1807 T-Agena deb February 22
16683 86- 31 A Molniya 3-28 February 23?
23973 94- 29 T STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 24
24430 94- 29 SJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 24
25452 87- 68 BZ Meteor 2-16 deb February 27
24141 94- 29 GQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 4
24270 94- 29 MV STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 5
175 61- 15 AZ Transit 4a r deb March 6
23907 96- 29 B NOSS 2-3 r March 7
15440 84-123 B NOAA 9 deb March 8
25166 98- 8 E Globalstar 1 Delta r March 11
25218 87- 68 AV Meteor 2-16 deb March 14
25182 87- 68 H Meteor 2-16 deb March 15
25472 98- 51 F Iridium 82 Delta r March 18
7418 74- 66 B Cosmos 673 r April 8
14329 83- 94 B Satcom 2R Delta r April 12
22583 93- 17 C GPS 2-19 r1 April 18
25580 98- 74 D Iridm 11A Smart Disp April 22
8755 76- 24 B Cosmos 808 r April 26
12519 81- 54 E Molniya 3-16 r2 April 28
4120 69- 84 B Meteor 1-2 r May
23186 94- 43 B APStar 1 CZ-3 r May
25347 98- 32 F Iridium 70 Delta r May
20352 89- 96 A Granat June
16609 86- 17 A Mir October Note 1
Notes
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk