SatEvo decay list #66 (issued 1998 December 1)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by January 15, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ---- Decay (1998/9) ----
Predicted Actual?
25251 87- 68 BU Meteor 2-16 deb November 14
23316 94- 65 D Solidar. Ariane deb November 17
24218 94- 29 KR STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 18? Note 4
22528 93- 10 H C 2234 aux motor November 18.59
23078 89- 89 BZ COBE deb November 20? Notes 2,3
25536 86- 17 MX Mir deb November 20? Note 3
25458 87- 68 CF Meteor 2-16 deb November 21? Notes 2,3
24942 94- 29 ACE STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 23? Notes 2,3
25537 86- 17 MY Mir deb November 23.7
24269 94- 29 MU STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 25 Note 3
25232 87- 68 BK Meteor 2-16 deb November 25? Notes 2,3
25535 86- 17 MW Mir deb November 25
25545 98- 67 B Zarya Proton r November 27.23
25229 87- 68 BG Meteor 2-16 deb November 27? Notes 2,3
24781 95- 8 G Cosmos 2306 deb November 27.7
24069 94- 29 DS STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 28 Note 3
24603 94- 29 ZF STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 28? Note 3
23772 95- 11 K SFU deb November 28.55
23101 94- 28 A MSTI 2 November 28.99
24264 94- 29 MP STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 1
25426 94- 29 ADS STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 2? Note 2
25294 86- 17 MQ Mir VDU December 2.7
11240 79- 4 A Molniya 3-11 December 3.1
21337 75- 52 BF Nimbus 6 Delta deb December 4
24237 94- 29 LL STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 4
25534 86- 17 MV Mir deb December 5
8368 75-100 C GEOS 1 Delta 1 r2 December 6
23067 89- 89 BN COBE deb December 6? Note 2
24008 94- 29 BD STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 7
24816 95- 71 D Cosmos 2326 deb December 10
25210 87- 68 AM Meteor 2-16 deb December 10
25443 94- 29 ADY STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 11
22439 92- 93 EG C 2227 Zenit deb December 12
9794 70-102 F Cosmos 381 r deb December 15
3508 68- 91 E Cosmos 249 deb December 16
22928 93- 77 B Telstar 401 Centaur r December 17
25362 94- 29 ADP STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 18? Note 2
24178 94- 29 JD STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 22
24624 94- 29 AAC STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 22? Note 2
3381 65- 82 MT OV2-1/LCS 2 deb December 23
4610 70- 25 N Nimbus 4 Agena deb December 23
9974 68- 97 DW Cosmos 252 deb December 23
24086 94- 29 EH STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 24
2988 65- 82 MT OV2-1/LCS 2 deb December 25
24101 94- 29 EY STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 25
24159 94- 29 HJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 26
24345 94- 29 NW STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 26
25499 98- 25 E C 2350 aux motor December 26
24463 94- 29 TL STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 27? Note 2
24475 94- 29 TY STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 27
25213 87- 68 AQ Meteor 2-16 deb December 27
25247 87- 68 BQ Meteor 2-16 deb December 28
25211 87- 68 AN Meteor 2-16 deb December 29
23066 89- 89 BM COBE deb December 30
4583 70- 85 A Meteor 1-6 December 31
22492 92- 93 GB Cosmos 2227 deb December 31
24693 94- 29 ABB STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 31? Note 2
25120 97- 84 J Orbcomm 8 Pegasus r December 31
25190 87- 68 R Meteor 2-16 deb December 31? Note 2
25421 98- 46 J Orbcomm 13 Pegasus r January 1
21148 91- 17 B Lacrosse 2 r January 2
25193 87- 68 U Meteor 2-16 deb January 2
25441 94- 29 ADW STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 2
25207 87- 68 AJ Meteor 2-16 deb January 3
25192 87- 68 T Meteor 2-16 deb January 5
25532 98- 66 F Iridium 2 Delta r January 5
21083 90- 81 CJ FY-1B CZ-4 deb January 8
25533 98- 62 C Sputnik 41 January 9
22896 83 -75 N Cosmos 1484 deb January 10
24038 94- 29 CK STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 10
23972 94- 29 S STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 11
23539 95- 16 D Brazilsat B2 Spelda January 14
25065 97- 74 C ETS-7 r January 15
25455 87- 68 CC Meteor 2-16 deb January 16
22584 93- 17 D GPS 2-19 r2 February 16
23529 95- 13 B Intlst 705 Centaur r February 17
23907 96- 29 B NOSS 2-3 r February 21
7418 74- 66 B Cosmos 673 r March
25166 98- 8 E Globalstar 1 Delta r March
25472 98- 51 F Iridium 82 Delta r March
8755 76- 24 B Cosmos 808 r April
12519 81- 54 E Molniya 3-16 r2 April
14329 83- 94 B Satcom 2R Delta r April
4120 69- 84 B Meteor 1-2 r May
22583 93- 17 C GPS 2-19 r1 May
25347 98- 32 F Iridium 70 Delta r May
20352 89- 96 A Granat June
16609 86- 17 A Mir July Note 1
23186 94- 43 B APStar 1 CZ-3 r July
P>Notes
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk