SatEvo Decay List #65


SatEvo decay list #65 (issued 1998 November 14)

This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.

The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by December 31, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.

   #    Designation    Name               ---- Decay (1998/9) ----
                                            Predicted   Actual?

 24090   94- 29 EM  STEP-2 Pegasus deb              October 29
 18872   77- 65 FW  Himawari 1 Delta deb            October 30?
 25100   97- 58 D   Inspektor                      November  1.85
 24785   95-  8 L   Cosmos 2306 deb                November  2.31
 24789   95-  8 M   Cosmos 2306 deb                November  3.0
 24850   94- 29 ACA STEP-2 Pegasus deb             November  4?
 25524   98- 65 C   PAS 8 Proton platform          November  4.8?
 23084   89- 89 CF  COBE deb                       November  5
 25523   98- 65 B   PAS 8 Proton r                 November  6.04
 24077   94- 29 DY  STEP-2 Pegasus deb             November  6
 25457   87- 68 CE  Meteor 2-16 deb                November  7?
 25483   98- 53 J   Orbcomm 21 Pegasus r           November  7.56
 24142   94- 29 GR  STEP-2 Pegasus deb             November  8
 24087   94- 29 EJ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb             November 10
 25231   87- 68 BJ  Meteor 2-16 deb                November 11
 25335   94- 29 ADL STEP-2 Pegasus deb             November 11?
 24782   95-  8 H   Cosmos 2306 deb                November 12.6
 24218   94- 29 KR  STEP-2 Pegasus deb             November 13?
 24520   94- 29 VU  STEP-2 Pegasus deb             November 13?
 20546   90- 28 A   Pegsat                         November 14.21
 23067   89- 89 BN  COBE deb              November 14?
 25229   87- 68 BG  Meteor 2-16 deb       November 17?
 22528   93- 10 H   C 2234 aux motor      November 18
 25251   87- 68 BU  Meteor 2-16 deb       November 18
 24069   94- 29 DS  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    November 19
 24269   94- 29 MU  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    November 19
 23078   89- 89 BZ  COBE deb              November 20?
 24942   94- 29 ACE STEP-2 Pegasus deb    November 21
 24603   94- 29 ZF  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    November 22
 25458   87- 68 CF  Meteor 2-16 deb       November 22
 23772   95- 11 K   SFU deb               November 24
 24781   95-  8 G   Cosmos 2306 deb       November 24
 24008   94- 29 BD  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    November 25
 21337   75- 52 BF  Nimbus 6 Delta deb    November 26
 23101   94- 28 A   MSTI 2                November 26
 23316   94- 65 D   Solidar. Ariane deb   November 26
 24237   94- 29 LL  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    November 27
 25294   86- 17 MQ  Mir VDU               November 28
 25232   87- 68 BK  Meteor 2-16 deb       December  2
 22439   92- 93 EG  C 2227 Zenit deb      December  3
  8368   75-100 C   GEOS 1 Delta 1 r2     December  4
 11240   79-  4 A   Molniya 3-11          December  6
 24101   94- 29 EY  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    December  6
 24816   95- 71 D   Cosmos 2326 deb       December  6
 25210   87- 68 AM  Meteor 2-16 deb       December  6
 24264   94- 29 MP  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    December  7
  3508   68- 91 E   Cosmos 249 deb        December 12
 22928   93- 77 B   Telstar 401 Centaur r December 12
 24542   94- 29 WS  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    December 14
 25230   87- 68 BH  Meteor 2-16 deb       December 14
 25247   87- 68 BQ  Meteor 2-16 deb       December 16
  9794   70- 102 F  Cosmos 381 r deb      December 17
 25362   94- 29 ADP STEP-2 Pegasus deb    December 18?
 23083   89- 89 CE  COBE deb              December 22?
 24345   94- 29 NW  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    December 22
 24159   94- 29 HJ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    December 23
  3381   65- 82 MT  OV2-1/LCS 2 deb       December 24
  9974   68- 97 DW  Cosmos 252 deb        December 24
 25213   87- 68 AQ  Meteor 2-16 deb       December 24
  4583   70- 85 A   Meteor 1-6            December 25
  4610   70- 25 N   Nimbus 4 Agena deb    December 25
  2988   65- 82 LD  OV2-1/LCS 2 deb       December 27
 24178   94- 29 JD  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    December 27
 24463   94- 29 TL  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    December 27?
 25455   87- 68 CC  Meteor 2-16 deb       December 28?
 25532   98- 66 F   Iridium 2 Delta r     December 28
 21148   91- 17 B   Lacrosse 2 r          December 31
 25190   87- 68 R   Meteor 2-16 deb       December 31
 25120   97- 84 J   Orbcomm 8 Pegasus r    January  3
 25421   98- 46 J   Orbcomm 13 Pegasus r   January  4
 25065   97- 74 C   ETS-7 r                January 18
 22584   93- 17 D   GPS 2-19 r2            January 22
 23529   95- 13 B   Intlst 705 Centaur r  February 
 23907   96- 29 B   NOSS 2-3 r            February
  7418   74- 66 B   Cosmos 673 r             March
 25166   98-  8 E   Globalstar 1 Delta r     March
 25472   98- 51 F   Iridium 82 Delta r       March
  8755   76- 24 B   Cosmos 808 r             April
 12519   81- 54 E   Molniya 3-16 r2          April
 25347   98- 32 F   Iridium 70 Delta r       April
  4120   69- 84 B   Meteor 1-2 r               May
 14329   83- 94 B   Satcom 2R Delta r          May
 20352   89- 96 A   Granat                    June
 23186   94- 43 B   APStar 1 CZ-3 r           June
 16609   86- 17 A   Mir                       July    Note 1
P>Note


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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk


Last updated: 1998 November 14