SatEvo decay list #63 (issued 1998 October 7)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by November 16, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ---- Decay (1998/9) ----
Predicted Actual?
24561 94- 29 XM STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 20
25433 98- 48 C Iridium 3 CSL02 r September 21.16
23065 89- 89 BL COBE deb September 21?
25439 86- 17 MV Mir deb September 22.0
25357 94- 29 ADM STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 22
25434 98- 48 D Iridium 3 CSL02 S/D September 23.65
10202 77- 65 AF Himawari Delta deb September 25?
24171 94- 29 HW STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 25
156 61- 15 AS Thor Ablestar deb September 25.6
22539 92- 93 GZ Cosmos 2223 deb September 25.6
20957 90-102 E Gorizont 33 aux mot September 27.06
25020 97- 65 B DSCS-3 Centaur r September 27.32
24830 97- 28 D Cos 2344 ullage r September 29.34
24915 81- 59 G NOAA 7 deb October 1.6
4894 69- 82 HD Thorad Agena D deb October 3.0
24012 94- 29 BH STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 3
24379 94- 29 QG STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 3
24784 95- 8 K Cosmos 2306 deb October 3.76
24533 94- 29 WH STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 7
24250 94- 29 LZ STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 9
24456 95- 71 C Cosmos 2326 deb October 9
23202 94- 49 D BzlSt B1 Ariane deb October 10
25487 98- 54 C Molniya 1T? platform October 10 Note 1
24396 94- 29 QZ STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 12
22683 89- 89 E COBE deb October 14
25486 98- 54 B Molniya 1T? Molniya r October 14 Note 1
20116 89- 52 F Gorizont 18 aux motor October 16
23771 95- 11 J SFU deb October 16
17342 86- 19 DP SPOT 1 Ariane 1 deb October 17
24783 95- 8 J Cosmos 2306 deb October 19
24058 94- 29 DF STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 20
24691 94- 29 AAZ STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 21
25335 94- 29 ADL STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 21
20979 90-105 B DMSP F10 deb October 24
23084 89- 89 CF COBE deb October 26?
24090 94- 29 EM STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 26
25052 97- 71 D Sirius 2 deb (Spelda) October 26
24232 94- 29 LF STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 28
24850 94- 29 ACA STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 28
24030 94- 29 CB STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 29
25229 87- 68 BG Meteor 2-16 deb October 30
24142 94- 29 GR STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 31
24785 95- 8 L Cosmos 2306 deb November 1
25100 97- 58 D Inspektor November 1
24698 94- 29 ABG STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 2
24789 95- 8 M Cosmos 2306 deb November 2
23078 89- 89 BZ COBE deb November 5?
24077 94- 29 DY STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 7
23067 89- 89 BN COBE deb November 8?
24218 94- 29 KR STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 10
25483 98- 53 J Orbcomm 21 Pegasus r November 10
22920 90- 37 C HST array November 12
20546 90- 28 A Pegsat November 15
24782 95- 8 H Cosmos 2306 deb November 15
23101 94- 28 A MSTI 2 November
4583 70- 85 A Meteor 1-6 December
8368 75-100 C GEOS 1 Delta 1 r2 December
11240 79- 4 A Molniya 3-11 December
25294 86- 17 MQ Mir VDU December
21148 91- 17 B Lacrosse 2 r January
25421 98- 46 J Orbcomm 13 Pegasus r January
P>Note
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk