SatEvo decay list #59 (issued 1998 August 5)

This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.

The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column this time if I anticipate their decay by September 15, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.

   #    Designation    Name               ----- Decay (1998) -----
                                            Predicted   Actual?

  5405   71- 67 J   OV1-20/OV1-21 deb                  July 20.6
 24194   94- 29 JV  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                 July 24
 24402   94- 29 RF  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                 July 24
 24169   94- 29 HU  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                 July 25
 24294   96- 50 D   Interbol 2 Molniya-M r             July 26.58
  5145   71- 15 AH  Cosmos 397 deb                     July 29.9
 25386   98- 41 E   Planet B M-5 deb                   July 30.6
 19730   88-115 A   Molniya 1-74                       July 31.47
 24127   94- 29 GA  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                 July 31
 23930   78- 64 H   Seasat 1 deb                     August  2
 25292   86- 17 MP  Mir deb                          August  2
 25051   97- 71 C   Sirius 2 Ariane r       August  6.6
 24201   94- 29 KC  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August  9
 24639   78- 96 G   Tiros N deb             August 12
 12519   81- 54 E   Molniya 3-16 r2         August 15?
 21932   92- 19 C   Navstar 25 PAM-D r      August 17
 24104   94- 29 FB  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August 19
 19952   89- 16 K   M-3S2 deb               August 20
 23905   78- 64 G   Seasat 1 deb            August 20
 25150   92- 72 E   Galaxy 7 Ariane deb     August 25
 24489   94- 29 UN  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August 26
 25174   98- 10 F   Iridium 50 Delta r      August 26
 25302   86- 17 MS  Mir deb                 August 31
 10794   78- 39 C   YURI Delta 1 r2      September  6
 14041   83- 38 E   Cosmos 1456 r        September  7
 24006   94- 29 BB  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   September  9
 24059   94- 29 DG  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   September  9
 22524   93- 10 G   M-3S2 aux motor      September 12
 24125   94- 29 FY  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   September 12
 24250   94- 29 LZ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   September 13
 22541   92- 93 HB  C 2227 Zenit deb     September 14
 14596   83-126 D   C 1518 Molniya r2    September 15
 25322   98- 26 D   Iridium 69 CZ-2C S/D September 18
 18879   88- 12 C   CS 3A H-1 r2         September 22
 25020   97- 65 B   DSCS-3 Centaur r       October
 22920   90- 37 C   HST array             November
 25100   97- 58 D   Inspektor             December

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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk