SatEvo decay list #58 (issued 1998 July 18)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
The "Actual" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included this time if I anticipate their decay by August 31, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
I hope to resume publication of the elset files (select.tle, dklist.tle and iridiums.tle) via my SatEvo page within the next few days.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (1998) -----
Predicted Actual?
25201 87- 68 AC Meteor 2-16 SL-14 deb July 5
25385 98- 41 D Planet B M-5 deb July 5?
23262 90- 81 CT FY-1B CZ-4 deb July 7.9
22914 93- 73 D Solidaridad Ariane deb July 8.1
25384 98- 41 B Planet B M-5 r July 8.30
24580 94- 29 YG STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 8
25178 87- 68 D Meteor 2-16 SL-14 deb July 9?
25219 87- 68 AW Meteor 2-16 SL-14 deb July 9.5
25278 64- 6 AF Elektron 1 SL-3 deb July 10.8
24350 94- 29 PB STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 11
22768 89- 89 AD COBE deb July 12.0
25381 98- 40 C Molniya 3-49 platform July 12.51
24009 94- 29 BE STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 14
1664 65- 82 AB OV2-1/LCS 2 deb July 15.2
25387 98- 40 E Molniya 3-49 deb July 16.18
25380 98- 40 B Molniya 3-49 r July 18.28
5405 71- 67 J OV1-20/OV1-21 deb July 19
24194 94- 29 JV STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 23
24402 94- 29 RF STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 23
24127 94- 29 GA STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 25
24169 94- 29 HU STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 25
24294 96- 50 D Interbol 2 Molniya-M r July 26
23930 78- 64 H Seasat 1 deb July 29
25150 92- 72 E Galaxy 7 Ariane deb August 1
25292 86- 17 MP Mir deb August 1
5145 71- 15 AH Cosmos 397 deb August 2
19730 88-115 A Molniya 1-74 August 2
24125 94- 29 FY STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 4
24201 94- 29 KC STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 4
24639 78- 96 G Tiros N deb August 6
19952 89- 16 K M-3S2 deb August 10
23970 94- 29 Q STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 10
25051 97- 71 C Sirius 2 Ariane r August 10
24104 94- 29 FB STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 12
12519 81- 54 E Molniya 3-16 r2 August 15
23905 78- 64 G Seasat 1 deb August 16
24489 94- 29 UN STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 21
21932 92- 19 C Navstar 25 PAM-D r August 24
24006 94- 29 BB STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 26
25174 98- 10 F Iridium 50 Delta r August 26
25302 86- 17 MS Mir deb August 29
22524 93- 10 G M-3S2 aux motor September 9
10794 78- 39 C YURI Delta 1 r2 September
14041 83- 38 E Cosmos 1456 r September
18879 88- 12 C CS 3A H-1 r2 September
25020 97- 65 B DSCS-3 Centaur r October
25322 98- 26 D Iridium 69 CZ-2C S/D October
22920 90- 37 C HST array November
25100 97- 58 D Inspektor December
Return to the SatEvo decay list archive
Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk