SatEvo decay list #57 (issued 1998 July 1)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
The "Actual" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included this time if I anticipate their decay by August 15, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
I regret that restrictions on the availability of elsets via NASA's Orbital Information Group mean that, for the time being at least, the elset files (select.tle, dklist.tle and iridiums.tle) I have maintained on these WWW pages are no longer available. For the same reason, it is possible that this may be my final SatEvo decay list.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (1998) -----
Predicted Actual?
24649 96- 62 B Mars GS Delta 2 r June 21.75
25109 97- 82 F Iridium 45 Delta r June 23.92
24552 94- 29 XC STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 24
23085 89- 89 CG COBE deb June 25?
25375 98- 38 C Cosmos 2358 deb June 25
25328 98- 27 B C 2351 Molniya r June 25.53
23904 86- 17 KX Mir deb June 26.6
25374 98- 38 B Cosmos 2358 Soyuz-U r June 28.78
25377 98- 39 B Cosmos 2359 Soyuz-U r June 29.63
24583 94- 29 YK STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 30
25183 87- 68 J Meteor 2-16 SL-14 deb June 30
25350 98- 8 F Globalstar FM1 deb June 30
23262 90- 81 CT FY-1B CZ-4 deb July 7
22914 93- 73 D Solidaridad Ariane deb July 8
25178 87- 68 D Meteor 2-16 SL-14 deb July 11
24580 94- 29 YG STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 12
25278 64- 6 AF Elektron 1 SL-3 deb July 12
25381 98- 40 C Molniya platform July 12
24009 94- 29 BE STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 13
22768 89- 89 AD COBE deb July 14
24350 94- 29 PB STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 14
25380 98- 40 B Molniya r July 15
1664 65- 82 AB OV2-1/LCS 2 deb July 17
24127 94- 29 GA STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 21
5405 71- 67 J OV1-20/OV1-21 deb July 22
24194 94- 29 JV STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 24
24201 94- 29 KC STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 24
24402 94- 29 RF STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 26
23930 78- 64 H Seasat 1 deb July 28
24294 96- 50 D Interbol 2 Molniya-M r July 29
25292 86- 17 MP Mir deb July 29
12519 81- 54 E Molniya 3-16 r2 August 5?
21932 92- 19 C Navstar 25 PAM-D r August 8
24639 78- 96 G Tiros N deb August 8
24169 94- 29 HU STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 9
25051 97- 71 C Sirius 2 Ariane r August 11
23905 78- 64 G Seasat 1 deb August 12
19730 88-115 A Molniya 1-74 August
10794 78- 39 C YURI Delta 1 r2 September
14041 83- 38 E Cosmos 1456 r September
18879 88- 12 C CS 3A H-1 r2 September
25174 98- 10 F Iridium 50 Delta r October
25322 98- 26 D Iridium 69 CZ-2C S/D October
25100 97- 58 D Inspektor December
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk