SatEvo decay list #56 (issued 1998 June 20)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
The "Actual" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included this time if I anticipate their decay by July 31, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (1998) -----
Predicted Actual?
19828 63- 14 EP Westford Needles deb June 5
25321 98- 26 C Iridium 69 CZ-2C r June 7.60
25301 86- 17 MR Mir deb June 8.6
23920 86- 17 LG Mir deb June 9.1
25303 86- 17 MT Mir deb June 12.1
24384 94- 29 QM STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 15.3
25351 98- 27 E C 2351 Molniya deb June 15
24991 94- 29 ACY STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 17? Note 1
21874 92- 6 B USA 78 Centaur r June 17.57
23085 89- 89 CG COBE deb June 21
24649 96- 62 B Mars GS Delta 2 r June 21.9
24552 94- 29 XC STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 23
25109 97- 82 F Iridium 45 Delta r June 23
25328 98- 27 B C 2351 Molniya r June 26
23904 86- 17 KX Mir deb June 27
24583 94- 29 YK STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 30
25350 98- 8 F Globalstar FM1 deb July 5
22914 93- 73 D Solidaridad Ariane deb July 8
23262 90- 81 CT FY-1B CZ-4 deb July 8
25278 64- 6 AF Elektron 1 SL-3 deb July 15
22768 89- 89 AD COBE deb July 19
24580 94- 29 YG STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 20
24009 94- 29 BE STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 21
24350 94- 29 PB STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 21
1664 65- 82 AB OV2-1/LCS 2 deb July 22
24201 94- 29 KC STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 22
5405 71- 67 J OV1-20/OV1-21 deb July 27
23930 78- 64 H Seasat 1 deb July 28
24194 94- 29 JV STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 29
24294 96- 50 D Interbol 2 Molniya-M r July 30
24639 78- 96 G Tiros N deb July 31
12519 81- 54 E Molniya 3-16 r2 August
19730 88-115 A Molniya 1-74 August
21932 92- 19 C Navstar 25 PAM-D r August
10794 78- 39 C YURI Delta 1 r2 September
14041 83- 38 E Cosmos 1456 r September
18879 88- 12 C CS 3A H-1 r2 September
25322 98- 26 D Iridium 69 CZ-2C S/D September
25174 98- 10 F Iridium 50 Delta r October
25100 97- 58 D Inspektor December
Note
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk