SatEvo decay list #54 (issued 1998 May 18)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
The "Actual" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included this time if I anticipate their decay by June 30, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (1998) -----
Predicted Actual?
23910 86- 17 KY Mir deb May 4.2
25326 98- 26 H Iridium 69 CZ-2C deb May 6.0
25323 98- 26 E Iridium 69 CZ-2C deb May 6.1
21057 91- 3 C Italsat 1 Ariane r May 8.23
21895 92- 10 C Superbird B1 Ariane r May 8?
25333 98- 28 C Echostar 4 Proton plat May 8.69
24354 94- 29 PF STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 9
25265 98- 18 D Iridium 51 CS02 S/D May 9.97
25332 98- 28 B Echostar 4 Proton r May 9.99
24423 94- 29 SB STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 13
19380 88- 69 D Molniya 1-73 r2 May 10.50
25277 98- 19 F Iridium 55 Delta r May 11.45
14034 83- 38 A Cosmos 1456 May 11.86 Note 2
24554 94- 29 XE STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 12
22852 89- 89 AP COBE deb May 13
24214 94- 29 KM STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 14
24408 94- 29 RM STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 15
25341 98- 31 B Progress M-39 Soyuz-U r May 16.75
25195 87- 68 W Meteor 2-16 SL-14 deb May 17.4
24633 94- 29 AAM STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 20
24419 86- 17 LV Mir deb May 21
24899 97- 41 E C 2345 SL12 aux mot May 21
24958 97- 58 C Sputnik-40 May 21
24747 97- 10 D Zeya deb May 22
15344 71-120 F Meteor 1-10 SL-3 deb May 26
24098 94- 29 EV STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 27
25250 87- 68 BT Meteor 2-16 SL-14 deb May 29
25304 86- 17 MU Mir deb May 30
25293 86- 17 MN Mir deb May 31
25329 98- 27 C C 2351 Molniya plat May 31
24746 97- 10 C Zeya deb June 1
23920 86- 17 LG Mir deb June 5
25301 86- 17 MR Mir deb June 5
25321 98- 26 C Iridium 69 CZ-2C r June 5
23085 89- 89 CG COBE deb June 7
25303 86- 17 MT Mir deb June 7
24384 94- 29 QM STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 8
24580 94- 29 YG STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 8
25087 97- 78 B Galaxy 8I Centaur r June 10?
24552 94- 29 XC STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 11
25109 97- 82 F Iridium 45 Delta r June 16
25328 98- 27 B C 2351 Molniya r June 16
24991 94- 29 ACY STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 17? Note 1
23262 90- 81 CT FY-1B CZ-4 deb June 19
23904 86- 17 KX Mir deb June 21
22768 89- 89 AD COBE deb June 22
24649 96- 62 B Mars GS Delta 2 r June 22
5145 71- 15 AH Cosmos 397 deb June 24
24639 78- 96 G Tiros N deb June 24
19730 88-115 A Molniya 1-74 June 25? Note 1
22914 93- 73 D Solidaridad Ariane deb June 25
24583 94- 29 YK STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 27
19828 63- 14 EP Westford Needles deb June 29?
24294 96- 50 D Interbol 2 Molniya-M r July
25322 98- 26 D Iridium 69 CZ-2C S/D July
12519 81- 54 E Molniya 3-16 r2 August
14041 83- 38 E Cosmos 1456 r August
25174 98- 10 F Iridium 50 Delta r August
25347 98- 32 F Iridium 70 Delta r August
25100 97- 58 D Inspektor October
Notes
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk