SatEvo decay list #49 (issued 1998 March 7)

Here is a further set of my decay predictions and analyses of recent decays. The "Actual?" decay dates are estimates based on the final available elements. Pegasus debris are included if I predict their decay by April 15. Other objects should be complete to May 15 but I include a few larger and/or more interesting objects beyond that date.

   #    Designation    Name             ------- Decay -------
                                         Predicted   Actual?

 23978   94- 29 Y   STEP-2 Pegasus deb             February 22?
 25133   86- 17 MJ  Mir deb                        February 23.0
 25066   97- 74 D   TRMM H2 r2                     February 26.47
 25080   97- 77 D   Iridm 42 CZ-2C plat            February 27.38
 24329   94- 29 NE  STEP-2 Pegasus deb             February 27
 11055   78- 94 A   Cosmos 1043                    February 27.71
 22510   92- 93 GV  SL-16 deb                         March  3
 24004   94- 29 AZ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                March  3
 24427   94- 29 SF  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                March  4
 25241   98- 10 G   Iridium 50 deb                    March  5.0
 19353   70- 25 PX  Thorad Agena D deb                March  5
 24078   94- 29 DZ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March  7
 24399   94- 29 RC  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 12
 25242   98- 10 H   Iridium 50 deb           March 13
 24900   97- 41 F   C2345 SOZ ullage r       March 18
 19380   88- 69 D   Molniya 1-73 r2          March 19?
 22855   89- 89 AS  COBE deb                 March 20
 25011   97- 62 B   Apstar 2R CZ-3B r        March 22
 18364   87- 78 F   Ariane 3 deb             March 25
 22587   93- 11 E   M-3S2 deb                March 26
 22774   89- 89 AK  COBE deb                 March 28
 24548   94- 29 WY  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       April  1
 24417   94- 29 RW  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       April  3
 25005   97- 59 B   Echostar 3 Centaur r     April  8?
 23896   86- 17 KP  Mir deb                  April  9
 24874   97- 34 F   Iridium 15 Delta r       April 10
 24041   94- 29 CN  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       April 13
 19297   76-103 F   Cosmos 860 deb           April 21
 21892   92-  9 C   Navstar 24 r2 (PAM-D)    April 22
 20132   88- 98 C   Ariane 2 deb C           April 26
 25142   86- 17 ML  Mir deb                  April 26
 23193   94- 47 B   DBS 2 Atlas Centaur r    April 28
 24970   97- 56 F   Iridium 19 Delta r       April 29
 25044   97- 69 F   Iridium 43 Delta r         May  1
 25140   86- 17 MK  Mir deb                    May  3
 23063   89- 89 BJ  COBE deb                   May  5
 21895   92- 10 C   Superbird B1 Ariane r     June
 24958   97- 58 C   Sputnik-40                June
 12519   81- 54 E   Molniya 3-16 r2           July
 21057   91-  3 C   Italsat 1 Ariane r        July
 24649   96- 62 B   Mars GS Delta 2 r         July
 24787   97- 19 B   GOES 10 Centaur r         July
 25109   97- 82 F   Iridium 45 Delta r        July
 24294   96- 50 D   Interbol 2 Molniya-M r  August
 25174   98- 10 F   Iridium 50 Delta r      August

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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk