SatEvo decay list #48 (issued 1998 February 22)

Here follows another batch of decay predictions and analyses of recent decays. The "Actual?" decay dates are estimates based on the final available elements. Pegasus debris are included if I predict their decay by March 31. Other objects should be complete to April 30 but I include a few larger and/or more interesting objects beyond that date.

   #    Designation    Name             ------- Decay -------
                                         Predicted   Actual?

 25038   86- 17 MH  Mir deb                        February  9.1
 12512   81- 54 A   Molniya 3-16                   February 10.02
 24885   97- 34 H   Iridium deb                    February 10.3
 22628   93- 11 F   M-3S2 deb                      February 10
 22770   89- 89 AF  COBE deb                       February 12?
 24524   94- 29 VY  STEP-2 Pegasus deb             February 13
 25037   86- 17 MG  Mir deb                        February 13
 25141   97- 82 G   Iridium deb                    February 17.9
 24065   94- 29 DN  STEP-2 Pegasus deb             February 18
 25036   86- 17 MF  Mir deb                        February 19.0
 25168   98-  9 B   Cosmos 2349 Soyuz r            February 21.37
 24381   94- 29 QJ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb             February 21
 24387   94- 29 QQ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb             February 21
 23978   94- 29 Y   STEP-2 Pegasus deb    February 22?
 25133   86- 17 MJ  Mir deb               February 23.0
 24329   94- 29 NE  STEP-2 Pegasus deb    February 26
 25066   97- 74 D   TRMM H2 r2            February 26
 11055   78- 94 A   Cosmos 1043           February 27
 25080   97- 77 D   Iridm 42 CZ-2C plat   February 27
 22510   92- 93 GV  SL-16 deb                March  2
 24427   94- 29 SF  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March  4
 24004   94- 29 AZ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March  5
 19353   70- 25 PX  Thorad Agena D deb       March 10
 24078   94- 29 DZ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 12
 24399   94- 29 RC  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 19
 18364   87- 78 F   Ariane 3 deb             March 22
 22774   89- 89 AK  COBE deb                 March 27
 24417   94- 29 RW  STEP-2 Pegasus deb       March 30
 22587   93- 11 E   M-3S2 deb                April  2
 24900   97- 41 F   C2345 SOZ ullage r       April  4?
 23896   86- 17 KP  Mir deb                  April  6
 19297   76-103 F   Cosmos 860 deb           April  7
 22855   89- 89 AS  COBE dev                 April  7
 24874   97- 34 F   Iridium 15 Delta r       April 14
 20132   88- 98 C   Ariane 2 deb C           April 26
 25044   97- 69 F   Iridium 43 Delta r       April 28
 23193   94- 47 B   DBS 2 Atlas Centaur r    April 29
 24970   97- 56 F   Iridium 15 Delta r         May
 24958   97- 58 C   Sputnik-40                June
 12519   81- 54 E   Molniya 3-16 r2           July
 24649   96- 62 B   Mars GS Delta 2 r         July
 25109   97- 82 F   Iridium 45 Delta r        July
 25174   98- 10 F   Iridium 50 Delta r        July
 24294   96- 50 D   Interbol 2 Molniya-M r  August

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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk