SatEvo decay list #39 (issued 1997 October 1)
Here is a lengthy batch of SatEvo decay analyses and predictions. The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the final available elements. Pegasus debris are included if I predict their decay by November 15; other objects are included to December 15. The 10.7 cm radio flux and atmospheric drag rates have remained elevated for more than a month, while the SESC sunspot number touched 101 on September 9 - clearly the new solar cycle is well underway.
# Designation Name ------- Decay -------
Predicted Actual?
24055 94- 29 DC STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 13?
24951 97- 51 H Iridium Proton r September 14.47
24608 94- 29 ZL STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 15
19056 63- 14 ED Westford Needles deb September 17
22450 92- 93 EP SL-16 deb September 17.7
24564 94- 29 XQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 17
24805 97- 24 A Cosmos 2343 September 18
24015 94- 29 BL STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 19
22771 89- 89 AG COBE deb September 20? Note 1
24044 94- 29 CR STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 20
24924 97- 43 J Iridium deb September 20
24868 94- 29 ACG STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 22
24623 94- 29 AAB STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 23? Note 1
24857 95- 28 G Cosmos 2313 deb September 24
19052 63- 14 EB Westford Needles deb September 26
24855 95- 28 E Cosmos 2313 deb September 27
24909 97- 44 A Lewis September 28.48
23912 89- 17 LA Mir deb September 28.7
24884 97- 37 B OrbView 2 Pegasus r September 29.00
24005 94- 29 BA STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 3
24450 94- 29 SS STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 3
24621 94- 29 ZZ STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 3
16997 76- 77 EV Delta 1 deb October 6
24550 94- 29 XA STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 7
23080 89- 89 CB COBE deb October 5? Note 1
24962 97- 54 C Molniya platform October 10
23507 95- 8 C Cosmos 2306 deb October 12
24271 94- 29 MW STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 12
24930 97- 48 F Long March r October 12 Note 2
23987 94- 29 AH STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 13
22858 89- 89 AV COBE deb October 15
24910 97- 44 B LMLV-1 October 15
24511 94- 29 VK STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 17
24380 94- 29 QH STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 18
24691 97- 54 B Molniya-M r October 18
24908 97- 43 F Iridium Delta 2 r October 19
21274 75- 52 K Delta 1 deb October 20
23551 83- 75 BE Cosmos 1484 deb October 20
24449 94- 29 SR STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 20
21863 92- 5 H SL-12 r (aux motor) October 21
24492 94- 29 UR STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 21
24607 94- 29 ZK STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 21
24622 94- 29 AAA STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 21
24335 94- 29 NL STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 23
24571 94- 29 XX STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 25
24898 97- 34 J Iridium deb October 28
24057 94- 29 DE STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 29
24577 94- 29 YD STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 29
24690 94- 29 AAY STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 29
24684 94- 29 AAS STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 30
24244 94- 29 LT STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 5
24844 94- 29 ABZ STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 8
24446 94- 29 TC STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 9
23897 86- 17 KQ Mir debris November 10
24749 97- 11 B Tempo-1 Atlas 2A r November 12
22748 89- 89 H COBE deb November 13
23929 86- 17 LR Mir debris November 14 Note 3
23691 86- 17 JN Mir debris November 23
23902 86- 17 KV Mir debris November 25
24668 96- 68 B Mars Pathfinder r November 27
24943 89- 17 MD Mir debris November 30
23922 89- 17 LJ Mir debris December 8
22820 89- 89 AN COBE deb December 8
23921 89- 17 LH Mir debris December 8
23892 89- 17 KL Mir debris December 15
Note
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk