SatEvo decay list #37 (issued 1997 August 30)

Here are my current SatEvo decay analyses and predictions. The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the final available elements. Pegasus debris are included if I predict their decay by October 15; other objects are included to November 15.

   #    Designation    Name                   ------- Decay -------
                                              Predicted   Actual?

 24896   97- 41 C   Cos 2345 debris                    August 15.5?
 24895   97- 41 B   Cos 2345 Proton-K r                August 16.87
 24265   94- 29 MQ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                 August 17
 24465   94- 29 TN  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                 August 19
 23676   95- 52 A   Cosmos 2321                        August 21.56
 24192   94- 29 JT  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                 August 21
 24334   94- 29 NK  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                 August 22
 24422   94- 29 SA  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                 August 26
 19057   63- 14 EE  Westford Needles deb               August 27
 24918   97- 46 C   PAS-5 Proton-K deb                 August 28.89
 24917   97- 46 B   PAS-5 Proton-K r                   August 29.86
 24049   94- 29 CW  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August 31
 24922   97- 43 G   Iridium deb             August 31
 20389   89-100 A   Cosmos 2053          September  2
 22776   89- 89 AM  COBE deb             September  3
 23983   94- 29 AD  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   September  3
 24923   97- 43 H   Iridium deb          September  4
 24485   94- 29 UJ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   September  6
 24823   94- 29 ABV STEP-2 Pegasus deb   September  7
 24253   94- 29 MC  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   September  8
 24478   94- 29 UB  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   September  9
 19052   63- 14 EB  Westford Needles deb September 10?
 24513   94- 29 VM  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   September 10
 24448   94- 29 SQ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   September 11
 22771   89- 89 AG  COBE deb             September 12
 24882   97- 34 G   Iridium deb          September 13
 23783   86- 17 JV  Mir deb              September 16
 24564   94- 29 XQ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   September 16
 24055   94- 29 DC  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   September 18
 24608   94- 29 ZL  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   September 18
 24623   94- 29 AAB STEP-2 Pegasus deb   September 21
 24687   94- 29 AAV STEP-2 Pegasus deb   September 26
 24924   97- 43 J   Iridium deb          September 27
 24044   94- 29 CR  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   September 28
 24015   94- 29 BL  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     October  3
 22450   92- 93 EP  SL-16 deb              October  5
 24450   94- 29 SS  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     October  5
 24621   94- 29 ZZ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     October  5
 24492   94- 29 UR  STEP-2 Pegasus deb     October  6
 24857   95- 28 G   Cosmos 2313 deb        October 11
 24884   97- 37 B   OrbView 2 Pegasus r    October 12
 24855   95- 28 E   Cosmos 2313 deb        October 14
 24909   97- 44 A   Lewis                  October 17
 23080   89- 89 CB  COBE deb               October 19
 23912   89- 17 LA  Mir deb                October 24
 24908   97- 43 F   Iridium Delta 2 r     November  1
 24910   97- 44 B   LMLV-1                November 10
 21863   92-  5 H   SL-12 r (aux motor)   November 13

Note

• 1. #21862 = 92- 5 G (SL-12 r aux motor) is no longer predicted to decay during the period. Recent elsets show its perigee between 105 and 120 km, but I now expect decay in early 1998.

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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk