SatEvo decay list #33 (issued 1997 June 24)

Here is a further list of SatEvo decay analyses and predictions. The "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the final available elements. Pegasus debris are included if I predict their decay by August 20; other objects are included to September 10.

   #    Designation    Name                   ------- Decay -------
                                              Predicted   Actual?

 24828   97- 28 B   Cosmos 2344 Proton r                 June  7.39 Note 4
 24555   94- 29 XF  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                   June 10
 24394   94- 29 QX  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                   June 12
 24762   97- 15 B   Cosmos 2340 SL-6 r1                  June 13.14
 24390   94- 29 QT  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                   June 21
 22757   89- 89 S   COBE deb                             June 23.8
 23901   86- 17 KU  Mir deb                   June 25
 24802   97- 22 C   Cos 2342 SL-6 plat        June 25
 24442   94- 29 SY  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June 26
 24738   97-  8 B   USA 130 r1                June 26.5 Note 5
 24549   94- 29 WZ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June 27   Note 1
 24559   94- 29 XK  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        June 27?  Note 1
 17481   87- 12 B   M-3S2 r                   June 29
 11075   78- 80 D   Molniya 1-42 SL-6 r2      July  1
 24205   94- 29 KG  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July  3   Note 2
 24596   94- 29 YY  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July  5
  4969   70- 25 GP  Thorad Agena D deb        July 10
 20856   90- 81 U   CZ-4 deb                  July 10
 24182   94- 29 JH  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July 10
 23914   86- 17 LC  Mir deb                   July 12
 24604   94- 29 ZG  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July 12
 24222   94- 29 KV  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July 13
 24472   94- 29 TV  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July 13
 24177   94- 29 JC  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July 17
 23596   95- 28 A   Cosmos 2313               July 20
 24366   94- 29 PT  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July 21
 23873   86- 17 KA  Mir deb                   July 22
 24295   96- 50 E   SL-6 platform             July 24
 24454   96- 58 E   SL-12 r (aux motor)     August  1?
 24046   94- 29 CT  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August  2
 24192   94- 29 JT  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August  3
 11007   78- 80 A   Molniya 1-42            August  5?  Note 3
 24464   94- 29 TM  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August  5
 24801   97- 22 B   Cosmos 2342 SL-6 r1     August  5
 23676   95- 52 A   Cosmos 2321             August  6
 22758   89- 89 T   COBE deb                August  7
 24453   94- 29 TD  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August 13
 24395   94- 29 QY  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August 19
 19057   63- 14 EE  Westford Needles deb September  1
 22776   89- 89 AM  COBE deb             September  3
 20389   89-100 A   Cosmos 2053          September  9

Notes

• 1. No recent elements.
• 2. #24205 = 94- 29 KG was incorrectly identified as 94- 29 KD last time.
• 3. #11007 = 78- 80 A (Molniya 1-42) may have been lost temporarily - there have been no fresh elsets since day 97162 (June 11).
• 4. One further elset for #24828 = 97- 28 B (Cosmos 2344 Proton r) shows that it survived a little longer than I listed last time.
• 5. The first elset to be released for #24738 = 97- 8 B (USA 130 r1) is dated day 97168 (June 17); it was launched on February 23 and presumably has just been declassified.

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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk