SatEvo decay list #31 (issued 1997 May 23)
Here are more SatEvo decay analyses and predictions. As before, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the final available elements. Pegasus debris are included if I predict their decay by June 30; other objects are included to July 31.
A number of Pegasus debris objects appear to have been lost at the time of the geomagnetic storm on May 15. Some were recovered after a few days while others may still be missing and the decay predictions for many of them are even more uncertain than usual.
# Designation Name ------- Decay -------
Predicted Actual?
8547 75-123 E SL-12 r (aux motor) May 4.32
24551 94- 29 XB STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 6
24689 94- 29 AAX STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 6
24443 94- 29 SZ STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 7
24391 94- 29 QU STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 12
24362 94- 29 PP STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 13
23884 86- 17 KD Mir deb May 15.6
23875 86- 17 KC Mir deb May 16.6
24763 97- 15 C Cosmos 2340 SL-6 plat May 18.02
24568 94- 29 XU STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 19?
24806 97- 24 B Cosmos 2343 Soyuz-U r May 20.62
23570 95- 11 G SFU deb May 21.2
12986 81-113 D SL-6 r2 May 21.67
24023 94- 29 BU STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 21?
23874 86- 17 KB Mir deb May 26
23934 86- 17 LT Mir deb May 27
24322 94- 29 NA STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 28
24563 94- 29 XP STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 29
24473 94- 29 TW STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 30
24601 94- 29 ZD STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 30?
24040 94- 29 CM STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 2
23900 86- 17 KT Mir deb June 3
24400 94- 29 RD STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 4
24421 94- 29 RZ STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 5?
24017 94- 29 BN STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 10
24459 94- 29 TG STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 13
24394 94- 29 QX STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 16
22757 89- 89 S COBE deb June 17
24762 97- 15 B Cosmos 2340 SL-6 r1 June 20
24555 94- 29 XF STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 21?
24390 94- 29 QT STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 23
24442 94- 29 SY STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 25
24549 94- 29 WZ STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 25
24472 94- 29 TV STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 26
23901 86- 17 KU Mir deb June 27
24559 94- 29 XK STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 27
17481 87- 12 B M-3S2 r June 29
24802 97- 22 B Cos 2342 SL-6 plat June 29
4969 70- 25 GP Thorad Agena D deb July 1
24366 94- 29 PT STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 2?
20856 90- 81 U CZ-4 deb July 3
24295 96- 50 E SL-6 platform July 7
11007 78- 80 A Molniya 1-42 July 9?
23914 86- 17 LC Mir deb July 10
19057 63- 14 EE Westford Needles deb July 15
22776 89- 89 AM COBE deb July 17
23873 86- 17 KA Mir deb July 19
23596 95- 28 A Cosmos 2313 July 21
23676 95- 52 A Cosmos 2321 July 23
24801 97- 21 B Cosmos 2342 SL-6 r1 July 31
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk