SatEvo decay list #26 (issued 1997 March 2)

Time for another batch of SatEvo decay analyses and predictions. As usual, the "Actual?" decay dates are estimates based on the final available elements. Pegasus debris are included only if I predict their decay before end-March; other objects are included to end-April.

   #    Designation    Name               ------- Decay -------
                                          Predicted   Actual?

 24735   94- 29 AAP STEP-2 Pegasus deb                January 31
 24734   94- 29 AAN STEP-2 Pegasus deb               February  7
 23990   94- 29 AL  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               February 18
 24657   86- 17 LY  Mir deb                          February 18.8
 24592   94- 29 YU  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               February 18.9
 23923   86- 17 LK  Mir deb                          February 19.95
 24020   94- 29 BR  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               February 20.0
 24659   86- 17 LX  Mir deb                          February 20.25
 24616   94- 29 ZU  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               February 23.3
 24708   96- 73 E   Bion 11 deb                      February 24.95 Note 1
 23964   94- 29 M   STEP-2 Pegasus deb               February 27.5
  1686   65- 82 AZ  OV2-1/LCS 2 deb                  February 27.6
 23895   86- 17 KN  Mir deb                          February 28.1
 23925   86- 17 LM  Mir deb                          February 28.93
 23588   95- 20 D   Progress-M 27 deb                March  1? Note 2
 24707   96- 73 D   Bion 11 deb                      March  1.8
 23917   86- 17 LD  Mir deb                 March  3.2
 24483   94- 29 UG  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      March  4
 24053   94- 29 DA  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      March  5
 24460   94- 29 TH  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      March  5
 24352   94- 29 PD  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      March  7
 24424   94- 29 SC  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      March  7
  7089   73- 86 CH  Delta 1 deb             March  8
 24658   86- 17 LW  Mir deb                 March  8
 24706   96- 73 C   Bion 11 deb             March  8
 24496   94- 29 UV  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      March  9
 24672   86- 17 LZ  Mir deb                 March  9
 23677   95- 52 B   Cosmos 2321 r           March 10
 23825   86- 17 JY  Mir deb                 March 11
 24710   96- 73 G   Bion 11 deb             March 11? Note 2
 23692   86- 17 JP  Mir deb                 March 14
 24036   94- 29 CH  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      March 16
 23890   86- 17 KJ  Mir deb                 March 17
 24497   94- 29 UW  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      March 17
 24444   94- 29 TA  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      March 19
 24010   94- 29 BF  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      March 20
 24470   94- 29 TT  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      March 20
 23894   86- 17 KM  Mir deb                 March 22  Note 3
 24074   94- 29 DV  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      March 22
 20572   90- 34 C   Palapa B2R r            April  5
 23694   86- 17 JR  Mir deb                 April  8
  1725   65- 82 CG  OV2-1/LCS 2 deb         April 19

Notes

• 1. #24708 decayed on February 24, in contradiction to my posting to SeeSat-L on the 27th to the effect that nothing had decayed since the 23rd. Apologies for missing it at the time.
• 2. No recent elsets.
• 3. #23894 is again identified incorrectly as 96- 29 KM in the current NASA 60-Day Decay Forecast.

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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk