SatEvo decay list #25 (issued 1997 February 16)

Here are updated SatEvo decay analyses and predictions. Again, the "Actual?" decay dates are estimates based on the final available elements. Pegasus debris are included only if I predict their decay before mid-March; other objects are included to mid-April.

   #    Designation    Name               ------- Decay -------
                                          Predicted   Actual?

 24370   94- 29 PX  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               February  1
 23023   94- 14 E   SL-14 deb                        February  6.6
 24061   94- 29 DJ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               February  9
 24544   94- 29 WU  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               February  9
 24718   97-  3 B   Soyuz-U r                        February 13.13
 23992   94- 29 AN  STEP-2 Pegasus deb               February 15
 24657   86- 17 LY  Mir deb              February 16
 23990   94- 29 AL  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   February 18
 24592   94- 29 YU  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   February 18
 24659   86- 17 LX  Mir deb              February 18
 23923   86- 17 LK  Mir deb              February 19
 24020   94- 29 BR  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   February 20
 24616   94- 29 ZU  STEP-2 Pegasus deb   February 23
  1686   65- 82 AZ  OV2-1/LCS 2 deb      February 27
 23964   94- 29 M   STEP-2 Pegasus deb   February 27
 23895   86- 17 KN  Mir deb              February 28
 23588   95- 20 D   Progress-M 27 deb       March  1?
 24708   96- 73 E   Bion 11 deb             March  1
 23925   86- 17 LM  Mir deb                 March  3
  7089   73- 86 CH  Delta 1 deb             March  5
 23917   86- 17 LD  Mir deb                 March  5
 24352   94- 29 PD  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      March  5
 24460   94- 29 TH  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      March  5
 24053   94- 29 DA  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      March  6
 24672   86- 17 LZ  Mir deb                 March  9
 24483   94- 29 UG  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      March 10
 24707   96- 73 D   Bion 11 deb             March 10
 23825   86- 17 JY  Mir deb                 March 11
 24424   94- 29 SC  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      March 11
 23692   86- 17 JP  Mir deb                 March 12
 24496   94- 29 UV  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      March 13
 24444   94- 29 TA  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      March 14
 24658   86- 17 LW  Mir deb                 March 14 Note 1
 24706   96- 73 C   Bion 11 deb             March 14
 24036   94- 29 CH  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      March 15
 24074   94- 29 DV  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      March 16
 23677   95- 52 B   Cosmos 2321 r           March 17
 23890   86- 17 KJ  Mir deb                 March 20
 23894   86- 17 KM  Mir deb                 March 20 Note 2
 20572   90- 34 C   Palapa B2R r            March 30
 23694   86- 17 JR  Mir deb                 April  4

Notes

• 1. #24658 = 86- 17 LW was listed incorrectly as #23658 last time.
• 2. #23894 is identified incorrectly as 96- 29 KM in the latest NASA 60-Day Decay Forecast.

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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk