SatEvo decay list #118 (issued 2001 June 21)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2001 August 20, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ---- Decay (2001) ----
Predicted Actual?
26723 01- 10 B STS-102 deb (PAD) June 7.7
23518 95- 9 H Glonass 71 aux motor June 8.34
24337 94- 29 NN STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 11.9
7487 73- 86 FT NOAA 3 Delta 1 deb June 13.7
23989 94- 29 AK STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 13.8
6085 70- 89 CT Cosmos 374 deb June 14.3
3524 68- 91 M Cosmos 249 deb June 15.6
8298 74- 89 BF Thorad Delta 1 deb June 15.9
17471 86- 19 HJ Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb June 16.2
26856 01- 25 D Astra 2C Proton casing June 16.80
26854 01- 25 B Astra 2C Proton r June 18.20
24247 94- 29 LW STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 19.9 Note 1
26447 99- 57 KU CBERS LM4 deb June 20.1 Note 1
24000 94- 29 AV STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 20.2 Note 1
26457 99- 57 HU CBERS LM4 deb June 21.4
22424 92- 93 DR Cosmos 2272 Zenit deb June 21.5
20611 90- 43 E Macsat 1 Scout deb June 24
1347 65- 20 S Cosmos 61 deb June 29
24158 94- 29 HH STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 30
3467 65- 82 PY OV2-1/LCS2 deb July 2
19641 87- 20 CF Cosmos 1823 deb July 5
4726 70- 91 X Cosmos 375 deb July 6
25361 94- 29 ADN STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 6
18980 88- 22 A Molniya 1-72 July 7?
26337 99- 57 HW CBERS LM4 deb July 7
24767 94- 29 ABM STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 8
26739 01- 13 C Mars Odyssey Delta 2 r July 9
26335 99- 57 HU CBERS LM4 deb July 10
23099 94- 27 A SROSS-C2 July 11
26334 99- 57 HT CBERS LM4 deb July 12
2496 63- 14 AD Westford Needles deb July 15
23071 89- 89 BS COBE deb July 15
10181 77- 65 K GMS 1 Delta deb July 17
26314 99- 57 GX CBERS LM4 deb July 17
16939 86- 68 D Molniya 1-68 r2 July 18
12750 81- 53 CT Cosmos 1275 deb July 22
24323 96- 56 B GPS 2-27 r1 July 25
24976 94- 29 ACJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 25
3683 68- 91 AJ Cosmos 249 deb July 26
23172 94- 38 E Cosmos 2282 aux motor July 26
4940 70 -91 AH Cosmos 375 deb July 28
22933 93- 78 D DBS 1 r July 29
26404 00- 39 A NINA/MITA O July 30
26295 99- 57 GH CBERS LM4 deb July 31
20612 90- 43 F Macsat 1 Scout deb August 2
11266 79- 11 A Cosmos 1076 August 5
24068 94- 29 DR STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 6
4890 69- 82 GZ OPS 1807 ThAg deb August 7
19544 88- 90 D Molniya 3-33 r2 August 12?
19055 63- 14 EC Westford Needles deb August 16
18127 87- 53 B DMSP 5D-2 F8 deb August 18
24184 94- 29 JK STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 18
22048 92- 43 F Gorizont 26 aux motor August 23
15955 85- 71 D Cosmos 1675 r August 31?
14319 83- 90 D Molniya 3-21 r2 September
14516 83-114 A Molniya 1-59 September
Note
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk