SatEvo decay list #117 (issued 2001 June 3)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2001 July 31, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ---- Decay (2001) ----
Predicted Actual?
26768 01- 19 C PAS-10 Proton casing May 15.69
26767 01- 19 B PAS-10 Proton r1 May 16.91
14313 83- 90 A Molniya 3-21 May 22.05
26774 01- 21 B Progress M1-6 Soyuz-FG r May 22.64
26502 00- 49 G Raduga-1 5 aux motor May 23.14
11252 79- 5 B Meteor 1-29 r May 24.40
20614 90- 43 H Macsat 1 Scout deb May 26.6
26424 99- 57 JV CBERS LM4 deb May 28.5
17094 79- 17 JH Solwind deb May 28.4
26776 01- 22 B Cosmos 2377 Soyuz r Jun 2.84
26723 01- 10 B STS-102 deb (PAD) June 7
23518 95- 9 H Glonass 71 aux motor June 8
24337 94- 29 NN STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 9
23989 94- 29 AK STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 11
6085 70- 89 CT Cosmos 374 deb June 12
8298 74- 89 BF Thorad Delta 1 deb June 16
3524 68- 91 M Cosmos 249 deb June 17
24000 94- 29 AV STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 17
17471 86- 19 HJ Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb June 19
7487 73- 86 FT NOAA 3 Delta 1 deb June 21
22424 92- 93 DR Cosmos 2272 Zenit deb June 21
26447 99- 57 KU CBERS LM4 deb June 21
1347 65- 20 S Cosmos 61 deb June 22
26457 99- 57 HU CBERS LM4 deb June 22
24247 94- 29 LW STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 24
19641 87- 20 CF Cosmos 1823 deb June 27
20611 90- 43 E Macsat 1 Scout deb June 28
24158 94- 29 HH STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 3
3467 65- 82 PY OV2-1/LCS2 deb July 6
26335 99- 57 HU CBERS LM4 deb July 7
26337 99- 57 HW CBERS LM4 deb July 7
26739 01- 13 C Mars Odyssey Delta 2 r July 7
26334 99- 57 HT CBERS LM4 deb July 9
24767 94- 29 ABM STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 11
4726 70- 91 X Cosmos 375 deb July 13
23099 94- 27 A SROSS-C2 July 14
23071 89- 89 BS COBE deb July 16
16939 86- 68 D Molniya 1-68 r2 July 17
25361 94- 29 ADN STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 17
26314 99- 57 GX CBERS LM4 deb July 17
10181 77- 65 K GMS 1 Delta deb July 21
26295 99- 57 GH CBERS LM4 deb July 24
12750 81- 53 CT Cosmos 1275 deb July 25
26404 00- 39 A NINA/MITA O July 26
24323 96- 56 B GPS 2-27 r1 July 29
18980 88- 22 A Molniya 1-72 June 25?
22933 93- 78 D DBS 1 r July 29
23172 94- 38 E Cosmos 2282 aux motor August 1
22048 92- 43 F Gorizont 26 aux motor August 5
11266 79- 11 A Cosmos 1076 August 10
19544 88- 90 D Molniya 3-33 r2 August 19?
15955 85- 71 D Cosmos 1675 r August 31?
14319 83- 90 D Molniya 3-21 r2 September
14516 83-114 A Molniya 1-59 September
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk