SatEvo decay list #116 (issued 2001 May 13)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2001 July 10, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ---- Decay (2001) ----
Predicted Actual?
15553 69- 82 KS OPS 1807 ThAg deb April 15
5143 71- 31 B Meteor 1-8 r April 18.49
15957 85- 70 E Raduga 16 aux motor April 18.60
21841 70- 25 QM Nimbus 4 ThAg deb April 20.5
26748 00- 56 H Cosmos 2372 deb April 21.3
16547 64- 6 L Elektron 1 deb April 21.5
24359 94- 29 PL STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 23.6
5393 70- 25 KY Nimbus 4 ThAg deb April 25.7 Note 1
16546 64- 6 K Elektron 1 deb April 26.9
24204 94- 29 KF STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 27.9
26653 99- 57 LK CBERS LM4 deb April 28.0
10960 77- 53 B NTS 2 Altas r April 28.56
26750 01- 17 B Soyuz TM-32 Soyuz-U r April 29.65
647 61- 15 GY Transit 4A deb April 29.7
25107 97- 82 D Iridium 48 May 5.23
15027 84- 55 A Cosmos 1569 May 7.13
26319 99- 57 HC CBERS LM4 deb May 8.9 Note 1
26255 99- 57 ER CBERS LM4 deb May 10.4 Note 1
16235 85-105 A Cosmos 1701 May 10.58
11458 79- 67 B Cosmos 1116 r May 10.74
11252 79- 5 B Meteor 1-29 r May 23
20614 90- 43 H Macsat 1 Scout deb May 24
26424 99- 57 JV CBERS LM4 deb May 24
14313 83- 90 A Molniya 3-21 May 25
26502 00- 49 G Raduga-1 5 aux motor May 25
17094 79- 17 JH Solwind deb May 26
26447 99- 57 KU CBERS LM4 deb June 2
23518 95- 9 H Glonass 71 aux motor June 5
26723 01- 10 B STS-102 deb (PAD) June 5
8298 74- 89 BF Thorad Delta 1 deb June 6
17471 86- 19 HJ Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb June 6
23989 94- 29 AK STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 6
19641 87- 20 CF Cosmos 1823 deb June 8
22424 92- 93 DR Cosmos 2272 Zenit deb June 8
24337 94- 29 NN STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 9
1347 65- 20 S Cosmos 61 deb June 10
24000 94- 29 AV STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 11
7487 73- 86 FT NOAA 3 Delta 1 deb June 12
6085 70- 89 CT Cosmos 374 deb June 13
23071 89- 89 BS COBE deb June 14
26457 99- 57 HU CBERS LM4 deb June 14
3524 68- 91 M Cosmos 249 deb June 16
24247 94- 29 LW STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 17
26335 99- 57 HU CBERS LM4 deb June 19
26337 99- 57 HW CBERS LM4 deb June 19
20611 90- 43 E Macsat 1 Scout deb June 22
26334 99- 57 HT CBERS LM4 deb June 24
25361 94- 29 ADN STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 25
24767 94- 29 ABM STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 26
3467 65- 82 PY OV2-1/LCS2 deb June 27
24158 94- 29 HH STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 27
4726 70- 91 X Cosmos 375 deb June 28
12750 81- 53 CT Cosmos 1275 deb June 29
24976 94- 29 ACJ STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 1
26295 99- 57 GH CBERS LM4 deb July 1
23099 94- 27 A SROSS-C2 July 2
26314 99- 57 GX CBERS LM4 deb July 4
22048 92- 43 F Gorizont 26 aux motor July 5
10181 77- 65 K GMS 1 Delta deb July 6
20224 64- 6 AD Elektron 1 deb July 7
26404 00- 39 A NINA/MITA O July 7
24323 96- 56 B GPS 2-27 r1 July 9
26739 01- 13 C Mars Odyssey Delta 2 r July 9
16939 86- 68 D Molniya 1-68 r2 July 15
18980 88- 22 A Molniya 1-72 July 17
22933 93- 78 D DBS 1 r July 20
11266 79- 11 A Cosmos 1076 July 31
18127 87- 53 B DMSP 5D-2 F8 deb August 1
15955 85- 71 D Cosmos 1675 r August
19544 88- 90 D Molniya 3-33 r2 August
23172 94- 38 E Cosmos 2282 aux motor August
14319 83- 90 D Molniya 3-21 r2 September
14516 83-114 A Molniya 1-59 September
Note
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk