SatEvo decay list #115 (issued 2001 April 14)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2001 June 10, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ---- Decay (2001) ----
Predicted Actual?
22233 92- 79 C GPS 2-16 r2 March 24.74
26173 99- 57 BK CBERS LM4 deb March 25.4
23951 96- 40 D Arabsat 2A Spelda March 25.48
26326 99- 57 HK CBERS LM4 deb March 25.8
23029 94- 16 C GPS 2-24 r2 March 27.29
24385 94- 29 QN STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 29
26177 99- 57 BP CBERS LM4 deb March 29
25013 97- 63 A STEP M4 March 30.98
22464 92- 93 FD Cosmos 2272 Zenit deb April 1.5
25554 64- 49 J Cosmos 41 deb April 1
462 61- 15 EY Transit 4A deb April 1.7
19733 88-115 D Molniya 1-74 r2 April 2.47
21840 70- 25 QL Nimbus 4 ThAg deb April 4.1
26271 99- 57 FH CBERS LM4 deb April 5.0
23281 94- 61 C Cosmos 2292 deb April 5.3
23133 94- 35 B UHF F/O 3 r April 5.38
20471 88- 93 C Cosmos 1975 deb April 6.0
26258 99- 57 EU CBERS LM4 deb April 6.7
24099 94- 29 EW STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 7.0
26161 99- 57 AX CBERS LM4 deb April 8.1
26249 99- 57 EK CBERS LM4 deb April 8
26176 99- 57 BN CBERS LM4 deb April 8.9
26210 99- 57 CY CBERS LM4 deb April 8.9
17988 86- 19 NQ Spot 1 Ariane deb April 9.1
25392 98- 42 D Tubsat N SSN-23 deb April 9.5
26730 99- 51 D Ikonos 2 Athena deb April 10.9 Note 1
5034 70- 89 E Cosmos 374 deb April 14.5 Note 1
15553 69- 82 KS OPS 1807 ThAg deb April 14
5143 71- 31 B Meteor 1-8 r April 18
15957 85- 70 E Raduga 16 aux motor April 18
21841 70- 25 QM Nimbus 4 ThAg deb April 18
16547 64- 6 L Elektron 1 deb April 20
24359 94- 29 PL STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 20
5393 70- 25 KY Nimbus 4 ThAg deb April 21
647 61- 15 GY Transit 4A deb April 23
26653 99- 57 LK CBERS LM4 deb April 24
16546 64- 6 K Elektron 1 deb April 25
24204 94- 29 KF STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 26
10960 77- 53 B NTS 2 Altas r April 28
25107 97- 82 D Iridium 48 April 30
19641 87- 20 CF Cosmos 1823 deb May 2
26319 99- 57 HC CBERS LM4 deb May 2
26255 99- 57 ER CBERS LM4 deb May 5
11458 79- 67 B Cosmos 1116 r May 6
15027 84- 55 A Cosmos 1569 May 8
26424 99- 57 JV CBERS LM4 deb May 8
7487 73- 86 FT NOAA 3 Delta 1 deb May 10
8298 74- 89 BF Thorad Delta 1 deb May 13
24337 94- 29 NN STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 15
26502 00- 49 G Raduga-1 5 aux motor May 16
3524 68- 91 M Cosmos 249 deb May 17
17471 86- 19 HJ Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb May 17
20614 90- 43 H Macsat 1 Scout deb May 18
11252 79- 5 B Meteor 1-29 r May 19
22424 92- 93 DR Cosmos 2272 Zenit deb May 19
17094 79- 17 JH Solwind deb May 20
24000 94- 29 AV STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 22
24767 94- 29 ABM STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 23
24158 94- 29 HH STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 25
26723 01- 10 B STS-102 deb (PAD) May 25
14313 83- 90 A Molniya 3-21 May 26
23989 94- 29 AK STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 26
4726 70- 91 X Cosmos 375 deb May 30
20611 90- 43 E Macsat 1 Scout deb May 30
24247 94- 29 LW STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 31
26334 99- 57 HT CBERS LM4 deb June 1
26335 99- 57 HU CBERS LM4 deb June 6
12750 81- 53 CT Cosmos 1275 deb June 8
3683 68- 91 AJ Cosmos 249 deb June 9
23099 94- 27 A SROSS-C2 June 15
26739 01- 13 C Mars Odyssey Delta 2 r June 19
11266 79- 11 A Cosmos 1076 July
15955 85- 71 D Cosmos 1675 r July
16939 86- 68 D Molniya 1-68 r2 July
18980 88- 22 A Molniya 1-72 July
22048 92- 43 F Gorizont 26 aux motor July
22933 93- 78 D DBS 1 r July
23172 94- 38 E Cosmos 2282 aux motor July
19544 88- 90 D Molniya 3-33 r2 August
14319 83- 90 D Molniya 3-21 r2 October
14516 83-114 A Molniya 1-59 October
Note
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk