SatEvo decay list #113 (issued 2001 March 3)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2001 April 30, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ---- Decay (2001) ----
Predicted Actual?
8432 72- 58 FM Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb February 11.0
25076 96- 49 H Fast Pegasus deb February 11.1
3687 68- 97 AE Cosmos 252 deb February 14.1
22986 94- 8 F Raduga 1-3 Proton deb February 15.6
23419 94- 77 K Cosmos 2297 deb February 15.8
26537 83- 44 FR Cosmos 1461 deb February 15.9
25314 98- 24 D Nilesat Ariane Spelda February 18.04
25720 89-100 BR C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb February 17.4
26600 00- 69 B Beidou-1 LM3 r February 19.58
16125 85- 91 D Molniya 3-26 r2 February 19.90
20094 89- 48 F Raduga 1-1 aux motor February 20.61
26328 99- 57 HM CBERS LM4 deb February 22.5
26710 00- 19 E SESat aux motor February 24.54
16112 85- 91 A Molniya 3-26 February 22.01
26714 01- 8 B Progress M-44 Soyuz r February 28.10
26717 95- 37 L Glonass 74 Proton deb February 28.2
22521 93- 11 A Astro D March 2.20
26704 01- 7 C Odin Start-1 deb March 2.6 Note 1
26712 01- 7 J Odin Start-1 deb March 3.0 Note 1
23019 94- 14 A Koronas 1 March 4
17152 86- 19 AF Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb March 6
26062 00- 4 B OCS March 6
26705 01- 7 D Odin Start-1 deb March 6
26709 01- 7 H Odin Start-1 deb March 6
4215 69- 82 CE OPS 1807 ThAg deb March 7
12948 81- 53 EC Cosmos 1275 deb March 7
26327 99- 57 HL CBERS LM4 deb March 8
26706 01- 7 E Odin Start-1 deb March 8
4620 70- 89 G Cosmos 374 deb March 9
14361 81- 53 HX Cosmos 1275 deb March 9
26538 00- 56 A Cosmos 2372 March 10 Note 3
4623 70- 91 C Cosmos 375 deb March 13
26707 01- 7 F Odin Start-1 deb March 14
9968 61- 15 KQ Transit 4A deb March 15
26059 00- 3 B Zhongxing-22 CZ-3A r March 16
24217 94- 29 KQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 17
26399 00- 36 F Cosmos 2371 aux motor March 17
22466 92- 93 FF Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb March 18
19733 88-115 D Molniya 1-74 r2 March 19?
26691 01- 4 B GPS 2R-7 Delta 2 r March 19
23951 96- 40 D Arabsat 2A Spelda March 24
24441 94- 29 SX STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 25
23029 94- 16 C GPS 2-24 r2 March 26
26173 99- 57 BK CBERS LM4 deb March 28
22233 92- 79 C GPS 2-16 r2 March 28
16609 86- 17 A Mir April 1 Note 2
26326 99- 57 HK CBERS LM4 deb April 1
23281 94- 61 C Cosmos 2292 deb April 2
26177 99- 57 BP CBERS LM4 deb April 4
24385 94- 29 QN STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 6
20471 88- 93 C Cosmos 1975 deb April 8
25013 97- 63 A STEP M4 April 8
23133 94- 35 B UHF F/O 3 r April 9
462 61- 15 EY Transit 4A deb April 10
22464 92- 93 FD Cosmos 2272 Zenit deb April 10
21840 70- 25 QL Nimbus 4 ThAg deb April 11
15957 85- 70 E Raduga 16 aux motor April 14
5034 70- 89 E Cosmos 374 deb April 20
25392 98- 42 D Tubsat N SSN-23 deb April 20
26176 99- 57 BN CBERS LM4 deb April 20
26161 99- 57 AX CBERS LM4 deb April 23
24099 94- 29 EW STEP-2 Pegasus deb April 25
26271 99- 57 FH CBERS LM4 deb April 26
5143 71- 31 B Meteor 1-8 r April 27
10960 77- 53 B NTS 2 Altas r May 14
25107 97- 82 D Iridium 48 May 31
11252 79- 5 B Meteor 1-29 r June
11458 79- 67 B Cosmos 1116 r June
16939 86- 68 D Molniya 1-68 r2 June
26502 00- 49 G Raduga-1 5 aux motor July
22048 92- 43 F Gorizont 26 aux motor August
22933 93- 78 D DBS 1 r August
23099 94- 27 A SROSS-C2 August
23172 94- 38 E Cosmos 2282 aux motor August
11266 79- 11 A Cosmos 1076 September
Notes
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk