SatEvo decay list #111 (issued 2001 January 21)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2001 March 15, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (2000) -----
Predicted Actual?
2000
24089 94- 29 EL STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 29.1
26051 93- 9 D OXP 1 Pegasus deb December 29? Note 2
26252 99- 57 EN CBERS LM4 deb December 29.5
24154 94- 29 HD STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 29.9
25529 98- 66 C Iridium 85 December 30.86
24181 94- 29 JG STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 31.5
2001
25553 64- 49 H Cosmos 41 deb January 1
4584 70- 85 B Meteor 1-6 r January 1.52
24458 94- 29 TF STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 1.9
23854 96- 25 B Cosmos 2332 r January 4.91
22925 93- 72 E Gorizont 29 aux mot January 6.05
22465 92- 93 FE C 2227 Zenit deb January 6.3
25224 87- 68 BB Metr 2-16 Tsyklon deb January 9.8 Note 1
26318 99- 57 HB CBERS LM4 deb January 10.8
26458 99- 57 LD CBERS LM4 deb January 11.0
16243 85-105 D Cosmos 1701 r January 11.64
4647 70- 25 AF Nimbus 4 ThAg deb January 11.7
12196 78- 26 AM Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb January 12.1
24745 97- 10 B Zeya r January 12.32
22659 93- 32 C GPS 2-20 r2 January 12.81
26421 99- 57 JS CBERS LM4 deb January 13.2
16110 85- 90 A Cosmos 1689 January 14.37
26325 99- 57 HJ CBERS LM4 deb January 15.1
14520 83-114 D Molniya 1-59 r2 January 15? Note 1
26223 99- 57 DM CBERS LM4 deb January 16.5 Note 1
15758 68- 91 CZ Cosmos 249 deb January 20.1 Note 1
26665 01- 1 B Shenzhou 2 CZ-2F r January 20.48
26499 00- 31 E Express 3A aux motor January 21.05
2001
23982 94- 29 AC STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 21.3
22452 92- 93 ER C 2227 Zenit deb January 22
24455 95- 58 H C 2322 Zenit deb January 23
14915 78- 26 GQ Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb January 24
20456 77- 65 GD GMS 1 Dlt deb January 24
25576 65-109 G Transit 10 deb January 27
24176 94- 29 JB STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 28
23976 94- 29 W STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 29
24361 94- 29 PN STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 1
26263 99- 57 EZ CBERS LM4 deb February 1
25313 98- 24 C Nilesat Ariane 44P r February 3
25451 87- 68 BY Metr 2-16 Tsyklon deb February 4
25076 96- 49 H Fast Pegasus deb February 6
26649 99- 57 LF CBERS LM4 deb February 6
3560 68- 97 N Cosmos 252 deb February 8
26097 00- 4 N Picosat deb February 8
26663 99- 57 LV CBERS LM4 deb February 8
26303 86- 73 D NOAA 10 deb February 9
8432 72- 58 FM Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb February 12
26606 00- 71 B Navstar 49 Delta 2 r February 13
16939 86- 68 D Molniya 1-68 r2 February 14
26537 83- 44 FR Cosmos 1461 deb February 14
3687 68- 97 AE Cosmos 252 deb February 16
23419 94- 77 K Cosmos 2297 deb February 16
25314 98- 24 D Nilesat Ariane Spelda February 18
16125 85- 91 D Molniya 3-26 r2 February 20
25720 89-100 BR C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb February 21
26328 99- 57 HM CBERS LM4 deb February 22
16112 85- 91 A Molniya 3-26 February 23?
22986 94- 8 F Raduga 1-3 Proton deb February 24
12948 81- 53 EC Cosmos 1275 deb March 2
22521 93- 11 A Astro D March 4
22466 92- 93 FF Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb March 5
17152 86- 19 AF Spot 1 Ariane 1 deb March 6
26062 00- 4 B OCS March 6
26327 99- 57 HL CBERS LM4 deb March 8
4215 69- 82 CE OPS 1807 ThAg deb March 10
4620 70- 89 G Cosmos 374 deb March 10
24217 94- 29 KQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb March 10
23019 94- 14 A Koronas 1 March 11
14361 81- 53 HX Cosmos 1275 deb March 12
20094 89- 48 F Raduga 1-1 aux motor March 12
19733 88-115 D Molniya 1-74 r2 March 27
23029 94- 16 C GPS 2-24 r2 March 27
23133 94- 35 B UHF F/O 3 r March 28
15957 85- 70 E Raduga 16 aux motor April
16609 86- 17 A Mir April Note 3
22233 92- 79 C GPS 2-16 r2 April
25013 97- 63 A STEP M4 April
5143 71- 31 B Meteor 1-8 r May
11458 79- 67 B Cosmos 1116 r May
25107 97- 82 D Iridium 48 May
11252 79- 5 B Meteor 1-29 r June
Notes
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk