SatEvo decay list #110 (issued 2000 December 29)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2001 February 20, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (2000) -----
Predicted Actual?
22380 92- 93 BV C 2227 Zenit deb December 9.9
24743 97- 9 B Intelsat 801 Ariane r December 12.41
25124 97- 85 B Early Bird r December 12.73
26417 99- 57 JN CBERS LM4 deb December 12.9
25422 98- 46 K Orbcomm 13 Peg r2 December 14.34
16480 79- 17 FE Solwind deb December 16.7
17628 81- 53 LA Cosmos 1275 deb December 17.1
26433 99- 57 KE CBERS LM4 deb December 18.5
22067 92- 47 H C 2204 Proton r2 December 19.30
19830 78-100 AN C 1045 SL-14 deb December 19.7
24221 94- 29 KU STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 20.3
18719 87-109 E Ekran 17 aux motor December 20.89
4618 70- 89 E Cosmos 374 deb December 23.1
24140 94- 29 GP STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 26.4
15538 71- 15 CV Cosmos 397 deb December 27.1
26153 99- 57 AP CBERS LM4 deb December 28.3 Note 1
24429 94- 29 SH STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 28.6 Note 1
4392 70- 34 B Mao 1 CZ-1 r December 29.23
24089 94- 29 EL STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 29
24154 94- 29 HD STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 29
26051 93- 9 D OXP 1 Pegasus deb December 29? Note 2
26252 99- 57 EN CBERS LM4 deb December 29
25529 98- 66 C Iridium 85 December 30.7
24181 94- 29 JG STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 31
2001
4584 70- 85 B Meteor 1-6 r January 1
24458 94- 29 TF STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 1
25553 64- 49 H Cosmos 41 deb January 1
22465 92- 93 FE C 2227 Zenit deb January 4
23854 96- 25 B Cosmos 2332 r January 4
20456 77- 65 GD GMS 1 Dlt deb January 5? Note 2
25224 87- 68 BB Metr 2-16 Tsyklon deb January 5
26458 99- 57 LD CBERS LM4 deb January 7
4647 70- 25 AF Nimbus 4 ThAg deb January 8
16243 85-105 D Cosmos 1701 r January 8
26318 99- 57 HB CBERS LM4 deb January 8
12196 78- 26 AM Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb January 9
14915 78- 26 GQ Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb January 9
22925 93- 72 E Gorizont 29 aux mot January 9
24745 97- 10 B Zeya r January 9
26421 99- 57 JS CBERS LM4 deb January 9
14520 83-114 D Molniya 1-59 r2 January 10
22659 93- 32 C GPS 2-20 r2 January 10
16110 85- 90 A Cosmos 1689 January 11
26325 99- 57 HJ CBERS LM4 deb January 11
25576 65-109 G Transit 10 deb January 12
26223 99- 57 DM CBERS LM4 deb January 12
24176 94- 29 JB STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 18
24455 95- 58 H C 2322 Zenit deb January 18
25451 87- 68 BY Metr 2-16 Tsyklon deb January 18
15758 68- 91 CZ Cosmos 249 deb January 20
22452 92- 93 ER C 2227 Zenit deb January 21
24217 94- 29 KQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 23
23982 94- 29 AC STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 26
24361 94- 29 PN STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 27
3687 68- 97 AE Cosmos 252 deb January 30
26303 86- 73 D NOAA 10 deb January 30
25313 98- 24 C Nilesat Ariane 44P r February 3
26097 00- 4 N Picosat deb February 3
26606 00- 71 B Navstar 49 Delta 2 r February 4
8432 72- 58 FM Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb February 6
25720 89-100 BR C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb February 8
26537 83- 44 FR Cosmos 1461 deb February 9
16112 85- 91 A Molniya 3-26 February 10
26328 99- 57 HM CBERS LM4 deb February 10
25314 98- 24 D Nilesat Ariane Spelda February 11
26062 00- 4 B OCS February 11
16125 85- 91 D Molniya 3-26 r2 February 12
26263 99- 57 EZ CBERS LM4 deb February 12
22986 94- 8 F Raduga 1-3 Proton deb February 13
24385 94- 29 QN STEP-2 Pegasus deb February 14
3560 68- 97 N Cosmos 252 deb February 17
20094 89- 48 F Raduga 1-1 aux motor February 17
25076 96- 49 H Fast Pegasus deb February 17
16939 86- 68 D Molniya 1-68 r2 February 18
22521 93- 11 A Astro D February 18
23419 94- 77 K Cosmos 2297 deb February 21
23019 94- 14 A Koronas 1 February 24
15957 85- 70 E Raduga 16 aux motor March 17
22233 92- 79 C GPS 2-16 r2 March 19
16609 86- 17 A Mir March 21 Note 3
19733 88-115 D Molniya 1-74 r2 March 27
23029 94- 16 C GPS 2-24 r2 March 27
25013 97- 63 A STEP M4 March 31
5143 71- 31 B Meteor 1-8 r April
23133 94- 35 B UHF F/O 3 r April
11458 79- 67 B Cosmos 1116 r May
25107 97- 82 D Iridium 48 May
11252 79- 5 B Meteor 1-29 r May
Notes
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk