SatEvo decay list #109 (issued 2000 December 10)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2001 February 1, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (2000) -----
Predicted Actual?
26617 00- 74 A Quickbird 1 November 21.01 Note 3
24117 94- 29 FQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb November 22.4
17726 71- 15 DD Cosmos 397 deb November 22.8?
23824 96- 10 E Raduga 33 aux motor November 22.9
26618 75- 17 C OPS 2439 deb November 23.69
4625 70- 91 E Cosmos 375 deb November 24.2
26455 99- 57 LA CBERS LM4 deb November 27.4
25470 98- 51 D Iridium 79 November 29.39
22373 92- 93 BN C 2227 Zenit deb November 29.9
26627 00- 77 B Sirius 3 Proton r December 1.40
26628 00- 77 C Sirius 3 Proton casing December 1.41
26171 99- 57 BH CBERS LM4 deb December 1.7
24164 94- 29 HP STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 2.3
26190 99- 57 CC CBERS LM4 deb December 2.8
21334 75- 52 BC Nimbus 6 Delta 1 deb December 4.4 Note 1
8577 70- 89 AQ Cosmos 374 deb December 6.3
10212 77- 65 AR GMS 1 Delta deb December 6.9 Note 1
26164 99- 57 BA CBERS LM4 deb December 9.9 Note 1
22380 92- 93 BV C 2227 Zenit deb December 10.0
24743 97- 9 B Intelsat 801 Ariane r December 12
25124 97- 85 B Early Bird r December 12
26417 99- 57 JN CBERS LM4 deb December 12
25422 98- 46 K Orbcomm 13 Peg r2 December 14
16480 79- 17 FE Solwind deb December 15
17628 81- 53 LA Cosmos 1275 deb December 16
22067 92- 47 H C 2204 Proton r2 December 16
26433 99- 57 KE CBERS LM4 deb December 16
19830 78-100 AN C 1045 SL-14 deb December 17
18719 87-109 E Ekran 17 aux motor December 19
4618 70- 89 E Cosmos 374 deb December 20
24221 94- 29 KU STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 20
15538 71- 15 CV Cosmos 397 deb December 23
22465 92- 93 FE C 2227 Zenit deb December 23
24140 94- 29 GP STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 24
24429 94- 29 SH STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 24
26153 99- 57 AP CBERS LM4 deb December 24
24089 94- 29 EL STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 26
24154 94- 29 HD STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 26
24181 94- 29 JG STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 26
26051 93- 9 D OXP 1 Pegasus deb December 26? Note 2
4392 70- 34 B Mao 1 CZ-1 r December 28
25529 98- 66 C Iridium 85 December 28
26252 99- 57 EN CBERS LM4 deb December 28
4584 70- 85 B Meteor 1-6 r December 29
24458 94- 29 TF STEP-2 Pegasus deb December 30
25576 65-109 G Transit 10 deb December 30
2001
25451 87- 68 BY Metr 2-16 Tsyklon deb January 1
24745 97- 10 B Zeya r January 3
4647 70- 25 AF Nimbus 4 ThAg deb January 4
25224 87- 68 BB Metr 2-16 Tsyklon deb January 5
26318 99- 57 HB CBERS LM4 deb January 5
14915 78- 26 GQ Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb January 6
26458 99- 57 LD CBERS LM4 deb January 6
16110 85- 90 A Cosmos 1689 January 7
23854 96- 25 B Cosmos 2332 r January 7
16243 85-105 D Cosmos 1701 r January 8
22659 93- 32 C GPS 2-20 r2 January 9
12196 78- 26 AM Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb January 10
14520 83-114 D Molniya 1-59 r2 January 10
26421 99- 57 JS CBERS LM4 deb January 10
24176 94- 29 JB STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 12
26223 99- 57 DM CBERS LM4 deb January 12
26325 99- 57 HJ CBERS LM4 deb January 12
15758 68- 91 CZ Cosmos 249 deb January 13
3687 68- 97 AE Cosmos 252 deb January 14
20456 77- 65 GD GMS 1 Dlt deb January 14?
26263 99- 57 EZ CBERS LM4 deb January 14
23982 94- 29 AC STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 15
26097 00- 4 N Picosat deb January 16
26303 86- 73 D NOAA 10 deb January 16
22986 94- 8 F Raduga 1-3 Proton deb January 21
22452 92- 93 ER C 2227 Zenit deb January 22
22925 93- 72 E Gorizont 29 aux mot January 22
24455 95- 58 H C 2322 Zenit deb January 22
24361 94- 29 PN STEP-2 Pegasus deb January 25
25720 89-100 BR C 2053 Tsyklon-3 deb January 25
8432 72- 58 FM Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb January 26
23419 94- 77 K Cosmos 2297 deb January 26
26062 00- 4 B OCS January 30
16112 85- 91 A Molniya 3-26 February 3
25313 98- 24 C Nilesat Ariane 44P r February 3
26606 00- 71 B Navstar 49 Delta 2 r February 5
20094 89- 48 F Raduga 1-1 aux motor February 13
23019 94- 14 A Koronas 1 February 15
22521 93- 11 A Astro D February 19
16939 86- 68 D Molniya 1-68 r2 February 20
15957 85- 70 E Raduga 16 aux motor March
22233 92- 79 C GPS 2-16 r2 March
23029 94- 16 C GPS 2-24 r2 March
25013 97- 63 A STEP M4 March
5143 71- 31 B Meteor 1-8 r April
11458 79- 67 B Cosmos 1116 r April
23133 94- 35 B UHF F/O 3 r April
25107 97- 82 D Iridium 48 April
11252 79- 5 B Meteor 1-29 r May
Notes
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk