SatEvo decay list #104 (issued 2000 August 19)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2000 October 10, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (2000) -----
Predicted Actual?
26440 99- 57 KM CBERS LM4 deb August 4.3
24043 94- 29 CQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 4
24189 94- 29 JQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 5.2
24348 94- 29 NZ STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 5.4
15786 64- 6 G Elektron 1 deb August 7.0
26364 86- 17 NP Mir deb August 7.5
26462 00- 44 B Progress M1-3 Soyuz-U r August 8.57
26419 99- 57 JQ CBERS LM4 deb August 10.5
26420 99- 57 JR CBERS LM4 deb August 12.4
26047 89- 1 N Glonass 40 Proton deb August 12 Note 1
22540 92- 93 HA Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb August 14.8 Note 1
24321 96- 56 C GPS 2-27 Delta 2 r2 August 15.60
13967 83- 25 D Molniya 1-57 r2 August 16.43
23650 95- 17 E Orbcomm 1 Pegasus deb August 19.4
24190 94- 29 JR STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 19.5
21538 91- 46 E Gorizont 32 aux mot August 21
26361 00- 25 B GPS 2R-4 Delta 2 r1 August 23
21389 75- 52 DK Nimbus 6 Delta 1 deb August 25
22968 94- 2 F GALS 1 aux motor August 27
23291 85-118 N Cosmos 1710 Proton deb August 29
24984 94- 29 ACS STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 29
24032 94- 29 CD STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 31
23941 96- 37 B TOMS r September 3
25180 87- 68 F Met 2-16 Tsyklon deb September 3
12547 81- 58 A Cosmos 1278 September 4
20399 89-101 E Cosmos 2054 aux mot September 4
23049 94- 21 G Cosmos 2275 aux mot September 4
10362 77- 91 A Cosmos 955 September 5
21690 90-105 AE DMSP F10 deb September 5
26136 99- 57 Y CBERS LM4 deb September 6
13775 70- 91 AR Cosmos 375 deb September 7
26456 99- 57 LB CBERS LM4 deb September 7
25310 98- 23 E Globalstar 6 Delta r September 13
5440 71- 71 C Eole Scout deb September 14
25813 89-101 K Cos 2354 Proton deb September 14
26105 00- 13 F Express 6-A aux mot September 16
26431 99- 57 KC CBERS LM4 deb September 19
25995 99- 68 B Terra Centaur r September 20
5070 70- 89 AH Cosmos 374 deb September 22
20021 89- 16 N M-3S2 deb September 23
14693 84- 11 E Palapa B2 r September 24
24341 94- 29 NS STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 24
25497 85- 56 F Giotto Ariane 1 deb September 24
25737 99- 26 C Terriers Peg stg3 September 24
26453 99- 57 KY CBERS LM4 deb September 24
11221 76-120 AY Cosmos 880 deb September 25
18984 88- 6 F DMSP F9 deb October 2
23210 94- 50 H Cosmos 2287 aux mot October 2
24258 94- 29 MH STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 4
26439 99- 57 KL CBERS LM4 deb October 4
26413 92- 72 G Gal 7 Ariane 42 deb October 6
25234 98- 12 B Teledesic 1 October 7
7967 72- 58 CT Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb October 9
23954 96- 41 B GPS 2-26 Delta 2 r1 October 9
23971 94- 29 R STEP-2 Pegasus deb October 10
25547 98- 68 B Bonum Delta 2 r October 14
26408 00- 40 B GPS 2R-5 Delta 2 r1 October 23
23549 95- 18 A Ofeq 3 October 27
25031 97- 67 B GPS 2-28 Delta 2 r1 October 27
25390 98- 42 B Tubsat N1 October 29
21829 91- 87 F Raduga 28 aux motor November
23501 95- 8 A Cosmos 2306 November
25032 97- 67 C GPS 2-28 Delta 2 r2 November
25069 97- 75 C JCSat-5 Ariane 44P r November
25124 97- 85 B Early Bird r December
25470 98- 51 D Iridium 79 December
25529 98- 66 C Iridium 85 2001 January
Note
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk