SatEvo decay list #103 (issued 2000 August 3)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2000 September 20, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (2000) -----
Predicted Actual?
22402 92- 93 CT Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb July 9.6
24216 94- 29 KP STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 10.2
23209 94- 50 G Cosmos 2287 aux motor July 10.66
24085 94- 29 EG STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 12.4
7874 72- 58 AW Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb July 14.0
22542 92- 93 HC Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb July 15.7
20698 90- 61 F Cosmos 2085 aux motor July 16.34
26401 00- 37 B Zvezda Proton-K r July 17.74
9530 74- 94 E Skynet 2B Delta 1 r2 July 18.22
26434 99- 57 KF CBERS LM4 deb July 18?
19390 87- 20 BW Cosmos 1823 deb July 21.8
24878 97- 35 C GPS 2R-2 r2 (PAM-D) July 23.49
2363 63- 14 N Westford Needles July 23.8
18208 86- 19 RF SPOT 1 r deb July 25.6
23050 94- 21 H Cosmos 2275 aux motor July 25.79
26357 00- 24 B USA 149 Titan 4 r July 27.49
26437 99- 57 KJ CBERS LM4 deb July 28.7
25123 97- 85 A Early Bird July 27.62
26435 99- 57 KG CBERS LM4 deb July 31 Note 1
25739 99- 26 E Terriers adapter cone August 1.2 Note 1
20869 90- 81 AH FY-1B CZ deb August 2.4 Note 1
26418 99- 57 JP CBERS LM4 deb August 3? Note 1
24043 94- 29 CQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 4.0
26440 99- 57 KM CBERS LM4 deb August 4.6
24189 94- 29 JQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 5
24348 94- 29 NZ STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 5
15786 64- 6 G Elektron 1 deb August 7
26364 86- 17 NP Mir deb August 7
26419 99- 57 JQ CBERS LM4 deb August 9
26047 89- 1 N Glonass 40 Proton deb August 12
26420 99- 57 JR CBERS LM4 deb August 13
24190 94- 29 JR STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 16
22540 92- 93 HA Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb August 17
13967 83- 25 D Molniya 1-57 r2 August 19
23291 85-118 N Cosmos 1710 Proton deb August 19
24321 96- 56 C GPS 2-27 Delta 2 r2 August 22
22968 94- 2 F GALS 1 aux motor August 23
20399 89-101 E Cosmos 2054 aux motor August 26
26361 00- 25 B GPS 2R-4 Delta 2 r1 August 26
24032 94- 29 CD STEP-2 Pegasus deb August 28
21389 75- 52 DK Nimbus 6 Delta 1 deb August 29
23650 95- 17 E Orbcomm 1 Pegasus deb August 29
25813 89-101 K Cos 2354 Proton deb September 3
21538 91- 46 E Gorizont 32 aux mot September 4
25497 85- 56 F Giotto Ariane 1 deb September 6
20021 89- 16 N M-3S2 deb September 8
23941 96- 37 B TOMS r September 8
10362 77- 91 A Cosmos 955 September 9
25180 87- 68 F Met 2-16 Tsyklon deb September 12
21690 90-105 AE DMSP F10 deb September 14
23049 94- 21 G Cosmos 2275 aux mot September 14
25310 98- 23 E Globalstar 6 Delta r September 14
26136 99- 57 Y CBERS LM4 deb September 14
25995 99- 68 B Terra Centaur r September 17
24984 94- 29 ACS STEP-2 Pegasus deb September 19
26431 99- 57 KC CBERS LM4 deb September 20
14693 84- 11 E Palapa B2 r September 26
12547 81- 58 A Cosmos 1278 September 27
23210 94- 50 H Cosmos 2287 aux mot September 29
25737 99- 26 C Terriers Peg stg3 September 30
25547 98- 68 B Bonum Delta 2 r October 10
23954 96- 41 B GPS 2-26 Delta 2 r1 October 15
25234 98- 12 B Teledesic 1 October 20
25031 97- 67 B GPS II r October 27
25390 98- 42 B Tubsat N1 October 29
26408 00- 40 B GPS 2R-5 Delta 2 r1 October 29
21829 91- 87 F Raduga 28 aux motor October 30
23501 95- 8 A Cosmos 2306 November
23549 95- 18 A Ofeq 3 November
25032 97- 67 C GPS 2-28 Delta 2 r2 November
25069 97- 75 C JCSat-5 Ariane 44P r November
25124 97- 85 B Early Bird r 2001 January
25470 98- 51 D Iridium 79 2001 January
25529 98- 66 C Iridium 85 2001 January
Note
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk