SatEvo Decay List #102


SatEvo decay list #102 (issued 2000 July 8)

This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.

In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2000 August 31, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.

   #    Designation    Name              ----- Decay (2000) -----
                                            Predicted   Actual?

  24982   94- 29 ACQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb                 June 24.7
  8092   72- 58 DT  Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb              June 24.8
 26380   00- 31 C   Express 3a Proton platform         June 25.02
 17206   86- 19 BJ  SPOT 1 r deb                       June 25.2
 24175   94- 29 JA  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                 June 25.6
 26379   00- 31 B   Express 3A Proton r                June 26.21
 11268   79- 12 A   Cosmos 1077                        June 26.66
 26254   99- 57 EQ  CBERS LM4 deb                      June 28
 14555   81- 53 JN  Cosmos 1275 deb                    July  1.3
  1721   65- 82 CC  OV2-1/LCS2 deb                     July  1.5
 26392   00- 35 C   Sirius 1 Proton platform           July  1
 24262   94- 29 MM  STEP-2 Pegasus deb                 July  1.6
 26391   00- 35 B   Sirius 1 Proton r                  July  1.64 Note 2
 21025   90-112 F   Raduga 26 aux motor                July  2.22 Note 3
 20339   89- 94 B   Molniya 3-36 r                     July  4.13
 26396   00- 36 C   Cosmos 2371 Proton platform        July  5.87
 17256   81- 58 E   Cosmos 1278 deb                    July  6.52 Note 1
 26395   00- 36 B   Cosmos 2371 Proton r               July  7.54
 22402   92- 93 CT  Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb     July  9
 23209   94- 50 G   Cosmos 2287 aux motor     July 10
 24216   94- 29 KP  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July 10
 24085   94- 29 EG  STEP-2 Pegasus deb        July 12
  7874   72- 58 AW  Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb     July 14
 20698   90- 61 F   Cosmos 2085 aux motor     July 15
 22542   92- 93 HC  Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb     July 15
  2363   63- 14 N   Westford Needles          July 19
  9530   74- 94 E   Skynet 2B Delta 1 r2      July 19
 24878   97- 35 C   GPS 2R-2 r2 (PAM-D)       July 26
 19390   87- 20 BW  Cosmos 1823 deb           July 27
 26357   00- 24 B   USA 149 Titan 4 r         July 29
 25123   97- 85 A   Early Bird                July 31
 18208   86- 19 RF  SPOT 1 r deb            August  1
 23050   94- 21 H   Cosmos 2275 aux motor   August  2
 15786   64-  6 G   Elektron 1 deb          August  3
 25739   99- 26 E   Terriers adapter cone   August  6
 24321   96- 56 C   GPS 2-27 Delta 2 r2     August  9
 20869   90- 81 AH  FY-1B CZ deb            August 13
 21538   91- 46 E   Gorizont 32 aux motor   August 13
 24043   94- 29 CQ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August 13
 26364   86- 17 NP  Mir deb                 August 15
 24348   94- 29 NZ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August 17
 24189   94- 29 JQ  STEP-2 Pegasus deb      August 22
 20399   89-101 E   Cosmos 2054 aux motor   August 24
 23291   85-118 N   Cosmos 1710 Proton deb  August 24
 13967   83- 25 D   Molniya 1-57 r2         August 25
 26361   00- 25 B   GPS 2R-4 Delta 2 r1     August 26
 10362   77- 91 A   Cosmos 955           September 20
 25995   99- 68 B   Terra Centaur r      September 20
 21829   91- 87 F   Raduga 28 aux motor  September 28
 25310   98- 23 E   Globalstar 6 Delta r   October  2
 23941   96- 37 B   TOMS r                 October  3
 23210   94- 50 H   Cosmos 2287 aux motor  October  7
 25737   99- 26 C   Terriers Pegasus stg3  October  8
 25547   98- 68 B   Bonum Delta 2 r        October 11
 14693   84- 11 E   Palapa B2 r            October 12
 23049   94- 21 G   Cosmos 2275 aux motor  October 16
 23954   96- 41 B   GPS 2-26 Delta 2 r1    October 23
 12547   81- 58 A   Cosmos 1278           November
 23501   95-  8 A   Cosmos 2306           November
 23549   95- 18 A   Ofeq 3                November
 25031   97- 67 B   GPS II r              November
 25234   98- 12 B   Teledesic 1           November
 25390   98- 42 B   Tubsat N1             November
 25032   97- 67 C   GPS 2-28 Delta 2 r2   December
 25069   97- 75 C   JCSat-5 Ariane 44P r  December
 25124   97- 85 B   Early Bird r      2001 January
 25470   98- 51 D   Iridium 79       2001 February
 25529   98- 66 C   Iridium 85          2001 March

Notes


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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk


Last updated: 2000 July 8