SatEvo decay list #101 (issued 2000 June 24)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2000 August 15, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (2000) -----
Predicted Actual?
24998 94- 29 ADF STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 2.0
26240 99- 57 EE CBERS LM4 deb June 2.8
13576 78- 26 FP Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb June 6.2
23782 96- 7 B NSTAR 2 Ariane 44LP+3 r June 7.43
4624 70- 91 D Cosmos 375 deb June 9.0
23858 96- 27 B SAX Centaur r June 9.25
24377 94- 29 QE STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 10.3
4985 70- 25 HF Thorad Agena D deb June 10
4006 61- 15 JL Transit 4A deb June 11
14411 68- 91 CM Cosmos 249 deb June 11.5
24093 94- 29 EQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 13.0
10860 78- 45 A Cosmos 1005 June 14.90
22507 92- 93 GS Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb June 16.1
11629 79- 99 A Cosmos 1145 June 16.53
3566 68- 97 S Cosmos 252 deb June 18.4
23502 95- 8 B Cosmos 2306 r June 18.69
24771 97- 16 D Thaicom 3 Spelda June 19.46
16934 86- 68 A Molniya 1-68 June 20.54
26367 00- 26 C Simsat 1 Rokot r June 21.45
24147 94- 29 GW STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 22.4 Note 1
25939 79-104 M CAT 1 Ariane 1 deb June 23? Note 1
26380 00- 31 C Express 3a Proton plat June 24 Note 3
8092 72- 58 DT Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb June 25.1
24982 94- 29 ACQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 25.2
17206 86- 19 BJ SPOT 1 r deb June 25.5
24175 94- 29 JA STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 26
26379 00- 31 B Express 3A Proton r June 26 Note 3
11268 79- 12 A Cosmos 1077 June 26.8
20339 89- 94 B Molniya 3-36 r June 27?
26254 99- 57 EQ CBERS LM4 deb June 29
24262 94- 29 MM STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 1
14555 81- 53 JN Cosmos 1275 deb July 2
1721 65- 82 CC OV2-1/LCS2 deb July 3
21025 90-112 F Raduga 26 aux motor July 3
22402 92- 93 CT Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb July 8
26324 99- 57 HH CBERS LM4 deb July 8 Note 2
17256 81- 58 E Cosmos 1278 deb July 11 Note 2
23209 94- 50 G Cosmos 2287 aux motor July 11
24216 94- 29 KP STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 12
20698 90- 61 F Cosmos 2085 aux motor July 15
24085 94- 29 EG STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 15
7874 72- 58 AW Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb July 18
9530 74- 94 E Skynet 2B Delta 1 r2 July 19
22542 92- 93 HC Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb July 20
15786 64- 6 G Elektron 1 deb July 24
26357 00- 24 B USA 149 Titan 4 r July 29
19390 87- 20 BW Cosmos 1823 deb August 1
25123 97- 85 A Early Bird August 3
18208 86- 19 RF SPOT 1 r deb August 4
23050 94- 21 H Cosmos 2275 aux motor August 4
24878 97- 35 C GPS 2R-2 r2 (PAM-D) August 6
25739 99- 26 E Terriers adapter cone August 10
21538 91- 46 E Gorizont 32 aux motor August 15
24321 96- 56 C GPS 2-27 Delta 2 r2 August 16
13967 83- 25 D Molniya 1-57 r2 August 26
20399 89-101 E Cosmos 2054 aux mot August 26
26361 00- 25 B GPS 2R-4 Delta 2 r1 August 28
23941 96- 37 B TOMS r September 26
10362 77- 91 A Cosmos 955 September 29
14693 84- 11 E Palapa B2 r October
21829 91- 87 F Raduga 28 aux motor October
23049 94- 21 G Cosmos 2275 aux motor October
23210 94- 50 H Cosmos 2287 aux motor October
23549 95- 18 A Ofeq 3 October
23954 96- 41 B GPS 2-26 Delta 2 r1 October
25310 98- 23 E Globalstar 6 Delta r October
25390 98- 42 B Tubsat N1 October
25737 99- 26 C Terriers Pegasus stg3 October
25995 99- 68 B Terra Centaur r October
23501 95- 8 A Cosmos 2306 November
25032 97- 67 C GPS 2-28 Delta 2 r2 November
25234 98- 12 B Teledesic 1 November
25547 98- 68 B Bonum Delta 2 r November
25124 97- 85 B Early Bird r December
25470 98- 51 D Iridium 79 2001 January
25529 98- 66 C Iridium 85 2001 February
Notes
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk