SatEvo decay list #100 (issued 2000 June 1)
This list of my satellite decay (re-entry) predictions and analyses is posted to the SeeSat-L mailing list and to the Usenet newsgroup sci.astro.satellites.visual-observe.
In most cases, the "Actual?" decay dates are my estimates based on the published orbital element sets ("elsets") over the object's final days. Objects are included in the "Predicted" column if I anticipate their decay by 2000 July 20, although some larger and/or more interesting decayers are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name ----- Decay (2000) -----
Predicted Actual?
26085 00- 8 E Globalstar A Delta r May 14.82
24694 94- 29 ABC STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 16.4
10135 77- 61 B Cosmos 925 r May 17.14
26114 00- 17 B IMAGE Delta 2 r1 May 17.34
603 63- 22 B Scout X-3 r May 17.56
22580 93- 16 H Cosmos 2237 Zenit deb May 18.1
12180 78- 26 V Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb May 18.5
23098 94- 26 B USA 103 Titan 4 Centaur r May 18.54
17769 78- 26 HB Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb May 19
20338 89- 94 A Molniya 3-36 May 19.84
24234 94- 29 LH STEP-2 Pegasus deb May 20.3
22726 93- 48 D Insat 2B Spelda May 20.59
22470 92- 93 FK Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb May 20.6
20496 90- 15 A LACE (USA 51) May 24.60 Note 1
25235 98- 12 C SNOE Pegasus r May 25.37
26363 86- 17 NM Mir deb May 26.6
24211 96- 44 D Italsat 2 Spelda June 1.48
26371 91- 15 K Astra 1B Ariane 44LP deb June 1.59
24998 94- 29 ADF STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 2.0
26240 99- 57 EE CBERS LM4 deb June 2.4
13576 78- 26 FP Landsat 3 Delta 1 deb June 6
14411 68- 91 CM Cosmos 249 deb June 7
23782 96- 7 B NSTAR 2 Ariane 44LP+3 r June 7
4624 70- 91 D Cosmos 375 deb June 8
4985 70- 25 HF Thorad Agena D deb June 9
23858 96- 27 B SAX Centaur r June 9
24377 94- 29 QE STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 9
4006 61- 15 JL Transit 4A deb June 12
24093 94- 29 EQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 12
10860 78- 45 A Cosmos 1005 June 14
22507 92- 93 GS Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb June 14
3566 68- 97 S Cosmos 252 deb June 17
11629 79- 99 A Cosmos 1145 June 17
24147 94- 29 GW STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 17
23502 95- 8 B Cosmos 2306 r June 18
24771 97- 16 D Thaicom 3 Spelda June 18
24982 94- 29 ACQ STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 19
24175 94- 29 JA STEP-2 Pegasus deb June 20
8092 72- 58 DT Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb June 21
16934 86- 68 A Molniya 1-68 June 23
11268 79- 12 A Cosmos 1077 June 24
22402 92- 93 CT Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb June 25
25939 79-104 M CAT 1 Ariane 1 deb June 26
26367 00- 26 C Simsat 1 Rokot r June 27
17206 86- 19 BJ SPOT 1 r deb June 28
1721 65- 82 CC OV2-1/LCS2 deb June 29
14555 81- 53 JN Cosmos 1275 deb June 30
19390 87- 20 BW Cosmos 1823 deb July 1
24216 94- 29 KP STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 2
26254 99- 57 EQ CBERS LM4 deb July 5
7874 72- 58 AW Landsat 1 Delta 1 deb July 6
24262 94- 29 MM STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 6
26324 99- 57 HH CBERS LM4 deb July 8 Note 2
22542 92- 93 HC Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb July 11
9530 74- 94 E Skynet 2B Delta 1 r2 July 12
21025 90-112 F Raduga 26 aux motor July 16
24085 94- 29 EG STEP-2 Pegasus deb July 20
26357 00- 24 B USA 149 Titan 4 r July 20
24878 97- 35 C GPS 2R-2 r2 (PAM-D) July 24
25123 97- 85 A Early Bird July 24
25739 99- 26 E Terriers adapter cone August 1
13967 83- 25 D Molniya 1-57 r2 August 14
20698 90- 61 F Cosmos 2085 aux motor August 23
23941 96- 37 B TOMS r August 28
24321 96- 56 C GPS 2-27 Delta 2 r2 August 28
20399 89-101 E Cosmos 2054 aux mot August 30
26361 00- 25 B GPS 2R-4 Delta 2 r1 August 31
10362 77- 91 A Cosmos 955 September
20339 89- 94 B Molniya 3-36 r September?
25310 98- 23 E Globalstar 6 Delta r September
20255 89- 78 A Molniya 1-76 October
23501 95- 8 A Cosmos 2306 October
23549 95- 18 A Ofeq 3 October
25032 97- 67 C GPS 2-28 Delta 2 r2 October
25547 98- 68 B Bonum Delta 2 r October
25995 99- 68 B Terra Centaur r October
25124 97- 85 B Early Bird r November
25470 98- 51 D Iridium 79 November
25529 98- 66 C Iridium 85 December
Notes
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk