With the aid of my SatEvo program, I monitor elements for satellites which I regard as decay candidates, posting predictions of upcoming re-entries to the SeeSat-L mailing list (typically) every few weeks.
My latest predictions are listed below
SatEvo decay list #135 (issued 2003 June 21)
The decay dates are based on each object's published orbital element sets ("elsets") and, in the case of pending decays, are included until 2003 August 16, although some larger and/or more interesting objects are included beyond that date.
# Designation Name Estimated actual decay
2003
14360 81- 53 HW Cosmos 1275 deb May 13.4
27709 03- 11 C Molniya 1-92 Molniya r May 13.63
27065 01- 49 H TES PSLV deb May 15.4 Note 1
27675 92- 41 J Intsat 6-1 Ariane 44L deb May 15
25855 99- 37 E Globalstar 32 Delta r May 16.08
23178 94- 40 D PAS 2 Ariane Spelda May 17.81
26169 99- 57 BF CBERS LM4 deb May 19.6
26961 64- 49 Q Cosmos 41 deb May 21
27113 01- 49 BH TES PSLV deb May 23.5
5137 71- 15 AF Cosmos 397 deb May 25.9
21150 91- 18 B Inmarsat 2-2 r May 26.19
27694 02- 51 F Eutelsat W5 Delta 4 deb May 26.6
27588 01- 49 NG TES PSLV deb May 28.4
20390 89-100 B Cosmos 2053 r June 5.17
25895 99- 46 B Koreasat 3 Ariane 42P r June 6.63
27824 03- 25 B Progress M1-10 Soyuz r June 10.76
24310 95- 41 D Koreasat 1 Delta deb June 14.1
5638 70- 89 CJ Cosmos 374 deb June 17.5
27181 01- 49 DZ TES PSLV deb June 18.0
17332 85- 56 E Giotto Ariane 1 deb June 19
# Designation Name Predicted decay
2003
20444 90- 6 A Molniya 3-37 June 24
17670 76-126 BV Cosmos 886 deb June 25
22413 92- 93 DE Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb June 27
24283 96- 48 B ChinaSat 7 LM r June 28
27705 03- 10 B GPS 52 Delta 2 r June 28
22401 92- 93 CS Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb June 29
5282 71- 52 B Cosmos 426 r July 2
27627 88- 98 J TDF 1 Ariane 2 deb July 15
27836 03- 29 C Molniya 3-53 casing July 15
27587 01- 49 NF TES PSLV deb July 19
27242 01- 49 GN TES PSLV deb July 24
27447 02- 29 E Express 4A aux motor July 24
27835 03- 29 B Molniya 3-53 r1 July 27
4330 70- 11 A Ohsumi July 31
20871 90- 81 AK FY-1B CZ deb August 6
26409 00- 40 C GPS 48 PAM r August 9
24655 96- 63 D Arabsat 2B Spelda August 13
11286 79- 20 B InterCosmos 19 r August 14
840 60- 7 D Transit 2A deb August 15
22875 93- 67 A Cosmos 2265 August 21
27099 01- 49 AT TES PSLV deb August 21
27145 01- 49 CR TES PSLV deb August 29
23100 94- 27 B SROSS-C2 r October 1
23416 94- 80 B DFH-3 1 LM r October
25722 99- 22 B MegSat October
4813 70-113 A Cosmos 389 November
27702 03- 9 E IGS Fairing 1 November
1822 65- 82 DM OV2-1/LCS2 deb December
27641 03- 1 B Coriolis r December
27703 03- 9 F IGS Fairing 2 December
2004
22522 93- 11 B Astro 4 r January
Note
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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk