Current SatEvo Decay List


With the aid of my SatEvo program, I monitor elements for satellites which I regard as decay candidates, posting predictions of upcoming re-entries to the SeeSat-L mailing list (typically) every few weeks.

My latest predictions are listed below


SatEvo decay list #135 (issued 2003 June 21)

The decay dates are based on each object's published orbital element sets ("elsets") and, in the case of pending decays, are included until 2003 August 16, although some larger and/or more interesting objects are included beyond that date.

   #    Designation    Name          Estimated actual decay
                                              2003
 14360   81- 53 HW  Cosmos 1275 deb            May 13.4
 27709   03- 11 C   Molniya 1-92 Molniya r     May 13.63
 27065   01- 49 H   TES PSLV deb               May 15.4   Note 1
 27675   92- 41 J   Intsat 6-1 Ariane 44L deb  May 15
 25855   99- 37 E   Globalstar 32 Delta r      May 16.08
 23178   94- 40 D   PAS 2 Ariane Spelda        May 17.81
 26169   99- 57 BF  CBERS LM4 deb              May 19.6
 26961   64- 49 Q   Cosmos 41 deb              May 21
 27113   01- 49 BH  TES PSLV deb               May 23.5
  5137   71- 15 AF  Cosmos 397 deb             May 25.9
 21150   91- 18 B   Inmarsat 2-2 r             May 26.19
 27694   02- 51 F   Eutelsat W5 Delta 4 deb    May 26.6
 27588   01- 49 NG  TES PSLV deb               May 28.4
 20390   89-100 B   Cosmos 2053 r             June  5.17
 25895   99- 46 B   Koreasat 3 Ariane 42P r   June  6.63
 27824   03- 25 B   Progress M1-10 Soyuz r    June 10.76
 24310   95- 41 D   Koreasat 1 Delta deb      June 14.1
  5638   70- 89 CJ  Cosmos 374 deb            June 17.5
 27181   01- 49 DZ  TES PSLV deb              June 18.0
 17332   85- 56 E   Giotto Ariane 1 deb       June 19

   #    Designation    Name              Predicted decay
                                              2003
 20444   90-  6 A   Molniya 3-37              June 24
 17670   76-126 BV  Cosmos 886 deb            June 25
 22413   92- 93 DE  Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb     June 27
 24283   96- 48 B   ChinaSat 7 LM r           June 28
 27705   03- 10 B   GPS 52 Delta 2 r          June 28
 22401   92- 93 CS  Cosmos 2227 Zenit deb     June 29
  5282   71- 52 B   Cosmos 426 r              July  2
 27627   88- 98 J   TDF 1 Ariane 2 deb        July 15
 27836   03- 29 C   Molniya 3-53 casing       July 15
 27587   01- 49 NF  TES PSLV deb              July 19
 27242   01- 49 GN  TES PSLV deb              July 24
 27447   02- 29 E   Express 4A aux motor      July 24
 27835   03- 29 B   Molniya 3-53 r1           July 27
  4330   70- 11 A   Ohsumi                    July 31
 20871   90- 81 AK  FY-1B CZ deb            August  6
 26409   00- 40 C   GPS 48 PAM r            August  9
 24655   96- 63 D   Arabsat 2B Spelda       August 13
 11286   79- 20 B   InterCosmos 19 r        August 14
   840   60-  7 D   Transit 2A deb          August 15
 22875   93- 67 A   Cosmos 2265             August 21
 27099   01- 49 AT  TES PSLV deb            August 21
 27145   01- 49 CR  TES PSLV deb            August 29
 23100   94- 27 B   SROSS-C2 r             October  1
 23416   94- 80 B   DFH-3 1 LM r           October
 25722   99- 22 B   MegSat                 October
  4813   70-113 A   Cosmos 389            November
 27702   03-  9 E   IGS Fairing 1         November
  1822   65- 82 DM  OV2-1/LCS2 deb        December
 27641   03-  1 B   Coriolis r            December
 27703   03-  9 F   IGS Fairing 2         December
                                              2004
 22522   93- 11 B   Astro 4 r              January

Note


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Reach the author via email at alan@wingar.demon.co.uk


Last updated: 2003 June 21